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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday August 26 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NANMADOL (MINA).
NANMADOL (MINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANMADOL [MINA/14W/1111]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 026
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wed 31 August 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #033/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
NANMADOL (MINA) downgraded to a Tropical Depression while along the coast of Fujian Province...barely moving.
This depression will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoonal Flow across Western Luzon (from Zambales up to Ilocos Norte), bringing passing occasional rains w/ gusty winds.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan & Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of NANMADOL (MINA).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION 36-HR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed August 31 2011
Location of Center: 24.8º N Lat 119.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 97 km ENE of Xiamen, China
Distance 2: 148 km SSW of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 263 km West of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 281 km NE of Shantou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Towards: Fujian Province, China
CPA [ETA] to Fujian: Ongoing [until 5pm HKT]
6-12hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 150 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 15-20 mm/hr (Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 650 km [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 AM HKT Wed Aug 31
NANMADOL (MINA) is expected to move WNW during the next 36 hours. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will make landfall over Fujian Province, near Xiamen City today. NANMADOL will eventually dissipate as it moves inland across the rugged terrain of Southeastern China. Below is the summary of the 36-hour forecast for this system.
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Makes landfall over Fujian Province...rapidly dissipating...about 46 km ENE of Xiamen City, China [2PM AUG 31: 24.7N 118.5E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: No longer a Tropical Cyclone...just a remnant area of low pressure moving slowly across Fujian Province...about 60 km NW of Xiamen City [2AM SEP 01: 24.9N 117.7E @ 35kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to dissipate over Southeastern China...about 152 km WNW of Xiamen City [2PM SEP 01: 25.0N 116.7E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. NANMADOL is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Continued weakening is expected as NANMADOL makes landfall today.
NANMADOL is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 650 kilometers (350 nautical miles).
*Please be reminded that the 2-Day Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
36-HR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
NANMADOL's (MINA) circulation has become more disorganized while over the Taiwan Strait. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
DECAYING RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Taiwan, Taiwan Strait and Southeastern China. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
6-12HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 80 mm (low to moderate rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 90 to 150 mm (high) along areas near the center (eyewall) of NANMADOL (MINA). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 AM (18 GMT) WED 31 AUGUST POSITION: 24.5N 119.0E.
*TROPICAL STORM 14W (NANMADOL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A WEAKENING, FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS BASED ON PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD CURRENT INTENSITY DVORAK ESTIMATES
OF 30 KNOTS. TS 14W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 36. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR
AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THIS FORECAST...(more info)
>> NANMADOL, meaning: A famous Pohnpei ruin; the "Venice of the Pacific".
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 6-12HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TS NANMADOL (MINA)...go visit our website @:
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