for Monday, 29 August 2011 [8:30 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday August 26 2011):
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NANMADOL (MINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TYPHOON NANMADOL [MINA/14W/1111]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020
7:20 AM PhT (23:20 GMT) Mon 29 August 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #025/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
The core of Typhoon NANMADOL (MINA) making landfall over Southern Taiwan...passing close just to the east of Kaohsiung City. Typhoon Conditions blasting the central & southern parts of Taiwan. Outer rainbands affecting the rest of Taiwan & the Batanes-Calayan-Babuyan Islands.
This typhoon will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoonal Flow across Western Luzon, bringing passing occasional rains w/ gusty winds.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan & Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of NANMADOL (MINA).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 2 days)* NANMADOL's (MINA) CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)* EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 to 4 days)* EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (Ilocos down to Zambales). Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 60 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Time/Date: 7:20 AM PhT Mon August 29 2011
Location of Eye: 22.6º N Lat 120.6º E Lon {CWB Radar Fix}
Distance 1: 25 km East of Kaohsiung City
Distance 2: 26 km North of Fangliao, Taiwan
Distance 3: 44 km NW of Daren, Taiwan
Distance 4: 41 km West of Taimali, Taiwan
Distance 5: 58 km WSW of Taitung, Taiwan
Distance 6: 59 km SE of Tainan, Taiwan
Distance 7: 68 km NNE of Hengchun, Taiwan
Distance 8: 153 km SSW of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 9: 292 km SSW of Taipei City
Distance 10: 275 km NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 11: 331 km SE of Xiamen, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 130 kph (70 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 160 kph (85 kts)
Present Movement: NNW @ 09 kph (05 kts)
Towards: Taiwan Strait
CPA [ETA] to S.Taiwan: Ongoing [Until 8PM HKT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 350 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): >30 mm/hr (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Size (in Diameter): 665 km [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 37 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 4-5 ft [1.2-1.7 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 AM HKT Mon Aug 29
NANMADOL (MINA) is expected to continue moving NNW to NW during the next 24 hours while crossing Southern Taiwan today. On the forecast track, the core of the typhoon will exit the western shores of Southern Taiwan later tonight...and traverse the Strait of Taiwan before making its final landfall over Fujian Province near Xiamen City Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. NANMADOL will weaken into a Tropical Storm (TS) today as it interacts with the mountains of Southern Taiwan. Below is the summary of the 2-day forecast for this system. 
THIS AFTERNOON (MON): Weakened gradually into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it moves along the mountains of Southern Taiwan...about 78 km North of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan [2PM AUG 29: 23.3N 120.4E @ 75kph]. TOMORROW EARLY MORNING (TUE): Emerges over the Taiwan Strait and re-intensifies slightly as it turns WNW...about 178 km ESE of Xiamen, China [2AM AUG 30: 24.1N 119.8E @ 85kph]. TOMORROW AFTERNOON: Approaching the coast of Fujian Province, SE China...turns more to the west...about 111 km West of Xiamen, China [2PM AUG 30: 24.5N 119.2E @ 75kph]. WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Makes its final landfall over Fujian Province...dissipating rapidly...about 46 km ENE of Xiamen City, China [2AM AUG 31: 24.7N 118.5E @ 65kph]. FUJIAN PROVINCE, CHINA: Near Xiamen City [ETA: between 11:00 PM HKT Tuesday to 8:00 AM Wednesday].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 130 km/hr (70 knots) with higher gusts. NANMADOL is a Category 1 Typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Some fluctuation in its is likely as the system moves back to water (Taiwan Strait). Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 55 kilometers (30 nautical miles) from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 260 kilometers (140 nautical miles). NANMADOL is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 665 kilometers (360 nautical miles) across. THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Downgraded to a Tropical Depression (TD) as it moves inland across Fujian Province [2AM SEP 01: 25.3N 116.6E @ 45kph]. FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipated over land...just an area of low pressure over Jiangxi Province [2AM SEP 02: 24.5N 116.2E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
NANMADOL's (MINA) circulation has deteriorated with the collapse of the eyewall. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: DECAYING EYE - In the vicinity of Kaohsiung, Taiwan. Possible calm and lull conditions (with <20 kph winds) will be expected inside the eye (click here to know more about the EYE). EYEWALL - affecting & moving across the western & central portions of Southern Taiwan. Typhoon Conditions with Typhoon Force Winds (>118 kph) will be expected within this wall (click here to know more about the Eyewall). INNER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Central Taiwan, Taiwan Strait & Bashi Channel. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across The rest of Taiwan, Batanes-Calayan-Babuyan Group of Islands, Fujian Province of China. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 210 to 350 mm (high) along areas near the center (eyewall) of NANMADOL (MINA). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic). COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 4-5 ft [1.2-1.7 m] above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal and beach front areas of Taiwan & SE China. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
PAGASA Philippine Storm Warnings Signals
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2) 
In Effect: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will continue to experience stormy weather today (with winds not exceeding 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts. PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
In Effect: CALAYAN & BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against flashfloods, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves).
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 AM (18 GMT) MON 29 AUGUST POSITION: 22.1N 121.0E.
*TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NANMADOL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180NM SOUTH OF
TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR LOOPS FROM
SOUTHERN TAIWAN VERIFY THAT TY 14W IS MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF THE ISLAND. THE INTENSITY ANALYSIS IS BASED ON A
COMBINATION OF DVORAK ESTIMATES AND SURFACE REPORTS FROM HENGHUN,
TAIWAN, WHICH SHOWED GUSTS UP TO 60 KNOTS DURING PASSAGE. A BUILDING
RIDGE OVER EASTERN CHINA WILL DRIVE TY 14W TO THE NORTHWEST AND THE
OVER-LAND PASSAGE WILL SEVERELY WEAKEN THE STORM. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINING THE
SYSTEM AT LOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER
EASTERN CHINA FOR THE FINAL TIME. THE LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES NO
CHANCE OF THE REMNANTS OF THE STORM RE-ENTERING THE SOUTH
CHINA SEA...(more info)
>> NANMADOL, meaning: A famous Pohnpei ruin; the "Venice of the Pacific".
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART: 
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
*GREEN LIGHT: THE SATELLITE ANIMATION BELOW HAS BEEN FIXED WITH JUST A FEW ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED.
TO VIEW CORRECT POSITION, SEE THE ABOVE STILL-IMAGE.
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY NANMADOL (MINA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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