for Wednesday, 31 August 2011 [12:54 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday August 26 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NANMADOL (MINA).
NANMADOL (MINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANMADOL [MINA/14W/1111]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 027 **FINAL**
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wed 31 August 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #034/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
NANMADOL (MINA) has made landfall just to the ENE of Xiamen City, Fujian (China)...just barely a Tropical Depression.
This depression will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoonal Flow across Western Luzon (from Zambales up to Ilocos Norte), bringing passing occasional rains & thunderstorms.
*This is the last and final advisory on NANMADOL.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION 24-HR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Wed August 31 2011
Location of Center: 25.2º N Lat 118.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 84 km NNE of Xiamen, China
Distance 2: 135 km SW of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 264 km NE of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 323 km West of Taipei, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: NW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Towards: Fujian Province, China
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 230 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 15-20 mm/hr (Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 555 km [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM HKT Wed Aug 31
NANMADOL (MINA) is expected to move WNW to Westward during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will continue to traverse Fujian Province throughout the day. NANMADOL will dissipate into a remnant low pressure as it moves inland across the rugged terrain of Southeastern China. Below is the summary of the 24-hour forecast for this system.
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Tracking WNW across the rugged terrain of Fujian Province...about 70 km NNW of Xiamen City, China [8PM AUG 31: 25.1N 117.9E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY MORNING: No longer a Tropical Cyclone...just a remnant area of low pressure moving slowly across Southeastern China...about 158 km WNW of Xiamen City [8AM SEP 01: 25.3N 116.8E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. NANMADOL is a weak Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Continued dissipation on NANMADOL is expected today.
NANMADOL is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 555 kilometers (300 nautical miles).
*Please be reminded that the 2-Day Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
24-HR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
NANMADOL's (MINA) circulation continues to weaken as it moves along Fujian Province. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
DECAYING RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Taiwan, Taiwan Strait and Southeastern China. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 105 to 230 mm (high) along areas near the center (eyewall) of NANMADOL (MINA). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) WED 31 AUGUST POSITION: 24.9N 118.7E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (NANMADOL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TD 14W IS CURRENTLY INLAND AND IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
>> NANMADOL, meaning: A famous Pohnpei ruin; the "Venice of the Pacific".
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TD NANMADOL (MINA)...go visit our website @:
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