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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday August 26 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, SMS, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NANMADOL (MINA).
NANMADOL (MINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM NANMADOL [MINA/14W/1111]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 024
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tue 30 August 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #029/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm NANMADOL (MINA) has drifted slowly north to north-northwest...weakens slightly. Stormy weather continues across Taiwan & Southeastern China.
This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoonal Flow across Western Luzon (from Zambales up to Ilocos Norte), bringing passing occasional rains w/ gusty winds.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan & Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of NANMADOL (MINA).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION 2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS* NANMADOL's (MINA) CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)* EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 50 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Tue August 30 2011
Location of Center: 24.3º N Lat 119.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 143 km ESE of Xiamen, China
Distance 2: 201 km South of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 206 km NNW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 4: 226 km WSW of Taipei, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Present Movement: NNW @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Towards: Fujian Province, China
CPA [ETA] to Fujian: Ongoing [until 5am HKT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 330 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 25-30 mm/hr (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 665 km [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 22 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0-3 ft [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM HKT Tue Aug 30
NANMADOL (MINA) is expected to move NW to WNW during the next 24 to 36 hours as it approaches the coast of Fujian Province, China. On the forecast track, the center of the storm will make landfall over Fujian Province near Xiamen City later tonight or Wednesday. NANMADOL will weaken further prior in making landfall, and rapidly dissipate as it moves over Southeastern China. Below is the summary of the 2-day forecast for this system.
TUESDAY EVENING: Weakens slightly as it approaches the coast of Fujian Province...about 94 km ENE of Xiamen City, China [8PM AUG 30: 24.7N 119.0E @ 75kph].
WEDNESDAY MORNING: Makes landfall over Fujian Province...barely a TS...about 49 km NNW of Xiamen City [8AM AUG 31: 24.9N 118.3E @ 65kph].
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Dissipating over land...downgraded to a Tropical Depression (TD) while moving slowly across Fujian Province...about 78 km NW of Xiamen City [8PM AUG 31: 25.1N 117.7E @ 55kph].
THURSDAY MORNING: Dissipated...just an area of low pressure off Southeastern China...about 175 km WNW of Xiamen City, China [8AM SEP 01: 25.3N 116.6E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 85 km/hr (45 knots) with higher gusts. NANMADOL is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Continued weakening is expected before NANMADOL reaches the coast of Fujian Province tonight, with rapid dissipation likely after it makes landfall.
Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 160 kilometers (85 nautical miles) from the center. NANMADOL is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 665 kilometers (360 nautical miles).
FUJIAN PROVINCE, CHINA: Landfalling near Xiamen City [ETA: ongoing until to 5:00 AM Wednesday].
*Please be reminded that the 2-Day Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
NANMADOL's (MINA) circulation continues to become more loose and fragmented while over the Taiwan Strait. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
INNER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Taiwan Strait, Western Taiwan & Fujian Province. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across The rest of Taiwan, Batanes Group of Islands and Southeastern China. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 210 to 330 mm (high) along areas near the center (eyewall) of NANMADOL (MINA). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS* NANMADOL's (MINA) CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)*
NANMADOL's (MINA) CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)*
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 50 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 50 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) TUE 30 AUGUST POSITION: 23.8N 119.1E.
*TROPICAL STORM 14W (NANMADOL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE (LLCC). A
29/2156Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE ALSO SHOWS THIS CONVECTION DISPLACED TO
THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR
IMAGERY AND THE EXPOSED LLCC WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 35 TO 55
>> NANMADOL, meaning: A famous Pohnpei ruin; the "Venice of the Pacific".
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TS NANMADOL (MINA)...go visit our website @:
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