Friday, August 10, 2018

Tropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) Final StormWatch

 


Tropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) Final StormWatch

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TROPICAL STORM YAGI (KARDING) STORMWATCH NO. 04 [FINAL]

Issued at: 5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Friday 10 August 2018
Current Status and OutlookTropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) is now heading towards the Southern Islands of Japan particularly Okinawa and the Ryukyus, and is expected to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early Saturday morning (Aug 11).

*This is the Final StormWatch Update on this Tropical Cyclone.

This system will continue to induce the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring scattered to widespread occasional rains and thunderstorms across the western sections of Luzon including Metro Manila through the next 24 hours.

Where is YAGI (KARDING?As of 3:00 PM PhT today, August 10…0700 GMT. The center was located over the northeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 23.7°N 131.6°E), about 482 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan or 1,053 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center…Gustiness: 95 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)North-Northwest @ 08 kph,  towards the Ryukyu Islands.
Forecast Highlights
  • TS Yagi (Karding) is forecast to accelerate towards the NW for the next 24 hours and will exit the Northeastern Border of PAR by early Saturday morning, Aug 11. It shall pass over or very close to Okinawa, Japan on Saturday evening. 

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


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Thursday, August 09, 2018

Tropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) StormWatch No. 03

 

Tropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) StormWatch No. 03

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TROPICAL STORM YAGI (KARDING) STORMWATCH NO. 03

Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Thursday 09 August 2018
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT), Friday 10 August 2018
Current Status and OutlookTropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) has maintained its strength while moving slowly north to north-northwestward during the past 24 hours, and is expected to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibiliy (PAR)  late Friday evening, Aug 10.

This system together with LPA 96W (outside of PAR) will continue induce the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring isolated, scattered to occasional rains and thunderstorms across the western sections of Luzon through Saturday (Aug 11).

Where is YAGI (KARDING?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, August 09…0900 GMT. The center was located over the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.9°N 133.0°E), about 1,168 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 1,146 km east of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)North @ 13 kph,  towards the Southern Islands of Japan.
Forecast Highlights
  • TS Yagi (Karding) is forecast to move NNW to NW for the next 24 hours and shall exit the Northeastern Border of PAR by late Friday evening, Aug 10
  • The current Global Typhoon Models all agree that this cyclone is not a threat to the country with no direct effects.
  • The next StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours or by Friday evening (Aug 10).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


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Wednesday, August 08, 2018

Tropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) StormWatch No. 02

 

Tropical Storm YAGI (KARDING) StormWatch No. 02

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TROPICAL STORM YAGI (KARDING) STORMWATCH NO. 02

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday 08 August 2018
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT), Thursday 09 August 2018
Current Status and Outlook"KARDING" has reached Tropical Storm status after remaining almost stationary during the past 24 hours, and is now globally known as "YAGI" ~ a Japanese word for Capricorn or Goat.  The storm is now moving almost northerly in the general direction of the Southern Islands of Japan.  In the next couple of days, Yagi (Karding) shall exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it moves closer to Okinawa, Japan.

This system together with LPA 96W will continue induce the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring isolated, scattered to occasional rains and thunderstorms across the western and southern sections of Luzon and MiMaRoPa incl. Metro Manila through Friday (Aug 10).

Where is YAGI (KARDING?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, August 08…0900 GMT. The exposed center was located over the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 19.7°N 133.5°E), about 1,201 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 1,205 km east of Basco, Batanes
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)East-Northeast @ 16 kph,  towards the Northeasternmost Part of the North Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • TS Yagi (Karding) is forecast to turn to the NNW to NW in the next couple of days and shall exit the Northeastern Border of PAR on Saturday morning, Aug 11
  • The current Global Typhoon Models all agree that this cyclone is not a threat to the country with no direct effects.
  • The next StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours or by Thursday evening (Aug 09).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


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Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Tropical Depression 18W (KARDING) StormWatch No. 01

 

Tropical Depression 18W (KARDING) StormWatch No. 01

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (KARDING) STORMWATCH NO. 01

Issued at: 7:25 PM PhT (11:25 GMT) Tuesday 07 August 2018
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT), Wednesday 08 July 2018
Current Status and OutlookTropical Disturbance (LPA) 93W which has been lingering  and struggling for a week has finally developed into a weak Tropical Depression, 18W with local name "KARDING."  Currently quasi-stationary over the North Philippine Sea during the past 6 hours and shall drift slowly northeastward for the next 24 hours.

This system will induce the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring isolated, scattered to occasional rains and thunderstorms across the western sections of Luzon and MiMaRoPa incl. Metro Manila through Thursday (Aug 09).

Where is 18W (KARDING?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, August 07…0900 GMT. The ill-defined center was located over the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 19.2°N 132.5°E), about 1,108 km east of Basco, Batanes or 1,093 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)Quasi-Stationary over the Southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • TD 18W (Karding) is forecast to remain quasi-stationary for the next 12 to 24 hours before moving slowly towards the NNE
  • It could become a minimal Tropical Storm (TS) within a day or two.
  • TD 18W (Karding) shall move out of the northeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday morning (Aug 11).
  • The current Global Typhoon Models has showed that this cyclone is not a threat to the country with no direct effects.
  • The next StormWatch Update will be issued after 24 hours or by Wednesday evening (Aug 08).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


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Monday, July 23, 2018

Tropical Depression 13W (JOSIE) Final Update

 

Tropical Depression 13W (JOSIE) Final Update

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (JOSIE) UPDATE NO. 07 [FINAL]

Issued at: 6:45 AM PhT (22:45 GMT) Monday, 23 July 2018
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression 13W (JOSIE) currently exiting the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it maintains its strength but with its circulation shrinking.

This is the Final Update on this weak tropical cyclone.

24-hr Outlook: TD 13W (JOSIE) may become a Tropical Storm (TS) briefly before dissipating due to its interaction with the land mass of Eastern China. It will therefore maintain  its north-northwestward track at a faster forward speed of 29 km/hr, and shall make landfall over Eastern China as a dissipating system tomorrow, Tuesday early morning (July 24).  

The combined effects of TD 13W (JOSIE) & the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring moderate to at times heavy or extreme scattered to widespread rain showers and thunderstorms across the western sections of Luzon including Metro Manila, Bicol Region, CaLaBaRZon, MiMaRoPa, & Western Visayas today.

Where is 13W (JOSIE)?As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 23…2100 GMT. The center was located over the southern  part of the East China Sea (near 25.0°N 123.8°E), about 225 km east of Taipei, Taiwan or 535 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)North-Northwest @ 18 kph, towards Eastern China.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)::  None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a TS as it moves along the western part of the East China Sea…about 288 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM July 23: 27.1°N 123.3°E @ 65kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the onshore areas of Eastern China, making landfall…about 129 km south-southeast of Shanghai, China [2AM July 24: 30.2°N 122.1°E @ 55kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 150 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 280 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional InformationTime/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon July 23, 2018
Location of Center/Eye: Near 25.0°N Lat 123.8°E Lon
Distance 1: 370 km NE of Taitung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 467 km ESE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 517 km E of Quanzhou, China
Distance 4: 729 km SSE of Shanghai, China
Distance 5: 1194 km NNE of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 30.2°N 122.1°E (TD)
48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): None

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua  for WeatherPhilippines


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Posted by: T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com
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