Thursday, March 19, 2015

Ex-TD BAVI (BETTY) Final Update

 



for Wednesday, 18 March 2015 [8:22 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) {Formerly TD BAVI/BETTY} UPDATE NUMBER 005 [FINAL]
Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Wednesday 18 March 2015

BAVI (BETTY) has dissipated into a Tropical Disturbance (aka. Low Pressure Area) as it moves slightly west-northwestward across the not-so-warm Philippine Sea. Its remnants will reach Bicol and Quezon Provinces this weekend and bring slight to moderate rain showers to the area.

*Unless regeneration occurs, this will be the last update on Bavi (Betty).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Mar 18...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: LPA...Ex-TD Bavi (Betty)
Location: Over the central part of the Philippine Sea (near 16.0N 131.2E)
About: 790 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 970 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 5 to 30 mm [Slight to Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 150 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 18 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Southwest @ 10 kph
Towards: Central Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

The Low Pressure Area (LPA) [formerly TD Bavi (Betty)] is expected to move generally west to west-southwest throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, this LPA will be tracking across the Central and Western parts of the Philippine Sea on Thursday through Friday (Mar 19-20).

The LPA will continue to dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 20 kph on Friday afternoon.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay over the Central Philippine Sea as it tracks due westward...about 565 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 19: 15.7N 129.1E @ 30kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Decaying further into a shallow low pressure area as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 210 km north-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 20: 15.1N 125.5E @ 20kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Mar 18, 2015
Location of Center: Near 16.0º N Lat 131.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 865 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 2: 900 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 3: 915 km ENE of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 4: 1025 km ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 5: 1025 km ENE of Baler, Aurora

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150318104648.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150318104909.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on Ex-TD BAVI (BETTY)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

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Wednesday, March 18, 2015

TD BAVI (BETTY) Update #002

 



for Wednesday, 18 March 2015 [8:00 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BAVI (BETTY) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 18 March 2015
Next Update: Wednesday Evening, 18 March 2015


BAVI (BETTY) has rapidly weakened into a Tropical Depression last night as it tracks over an unfavorable atmospheric conditions across the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea. It is likely to dissipate into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) {aka. Tropical Disturbance) within the next 12 to 24 hours.

Residents and visitors along the Eastern Luzon incl. Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of Bavi (Betty).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Mar 18...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TD Bavi (Betty)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.8N 133.1E)
About: 975 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,175 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 5 to 30 mm [Slight to Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 200 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 14 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 16 kph
Towards: Central Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TD Bavi (Betty) is expected to move generally west during the next 24 hours, with a turn to the west-southwest on the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, Bavi (Betty) will be tracking across the Central through Western parts of the Philippine Sea on Thursday through Friday (Mar 19-20).

TD Bavi (Betty) will continue to weaken within the next 12 to 24 hours and will dissipate into an area of Low Pressure this evening or Thursday early morning. This is due to the unfavorable atmosphere and relatively colder sea-surface temperatures over the Philippine Sea. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph on Thursday early morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipates into a Low Pressure Area as it tracks due west across the central part of the Philippine Sea...about 670 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2AM MAR 19: 16.0N 130.0E @ 35kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens further into a shallow low pressure area as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 305 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2AM MAR 20: 15.8N 126.0E @ 30kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to decay, near the coasts of Aurora and Quezon Provinces...about 70 km east-southeast of Baler, Aurora [2AM MAR 21: 15.5N 122.2E @ 25kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed Mar 18, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.8º N Lat 133.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 1050 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 2: 1090 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 3: 1110 km ENE of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 4: 1225 km ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 5: 1230 km E of Baler, Aurora

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150317225208.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150317225313.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD BAVI (BETTY)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

.

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Tuesday, March 17, 2015

TS BAVI (BETTY) Update #001

 



for Tuesday, 17 March 2015 [7:32 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM BAVI (BETTY) UPDATE NUMBER 001
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday 17 March 2015
Next Update: Wednesday Morning, 18 March 2015


Tropical Storm BAVI is now entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...locally named "BETTY." This cyclone continues to lose strength as it moves across the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea...and is forecast to dissipate into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) {aka. Tropical Disturbance) on Thursday (March 19).

Residents and visitors along the Eastern Luzon incl. Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of Bavi (Betty).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None for the next 48 hours.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Mar 17...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Bavi (Betty)
Location: Over the eastermost part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.4N 136.5E)
About: 1,170 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,385 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 25 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 200 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 15 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest to West @ 17 kph
Towards: Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Bavi (Betty) is expected to continue moving west-northwest during the next 24 hours, with a turn to the west on the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, Bavi (Betty) will be tracking across the Eastern and Central part of the Philippine Sea through Thursday afternoon (Mar 19).

TS Bavi (Betty) will weaken within the next 24 hours and will continue to lose strength throughout the forecast period...becoming just a Tropical Depression on Wednesday morning...dissipating into an area of low pressure at the end of the forecast outlook. This is due to the unfavorable atmosphere over the Philippine Sea and the not-so-warm sea-surface temperatures. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph on Thursday afternoon.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Downgraded to a weak Tropical Depression as it tracks due west across the central part of the Philippine Sea...about 840 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 18: 16.0N 131.7E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into an area of Low Pressure as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 555 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 19: 15.9N 128.9E @ 35kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay, north of Bicol Region...weakens further into a shallow Low Pressure...about 240 km north-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 20: 15.4N 125.5E @ 30kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Mar 17, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.4º N Lat 135.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 1240 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 2: 1285 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 3: 1310 km ENE of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 4: 1430 km ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 5: 1435 km ESE of Baler, Aurora

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150317105817.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150317110026.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS BAVI (BETTY)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

LPA...Ex-TD MEKKHALA (AMANG) Update #019 [FINAL]

 



for Monday, 19 January 2015 [7:45 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

LOW PRESSURE AREA FORMERLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEKKHALA (AMANG) UPDATE NUMBER 019 [FINAL]
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday 19 January 2015


Tropical Depression MEKKHALA (AMANG) has dissipated into an area of low pressure as it makes another landfall over Aurora and tracks over Southern Isabela.

The remnants of Mekkhala (Amang) and the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) will continue to bring cooler, windy and cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along Northern Luzon...becoming moderate to heavy across the Babuyan and Batanes Group of Islands, and Cagayan within the next 24 hours..

*This is the last and final update on Mekkhala (Amang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected
by the hazards generated by the remnants of current tropical cyclone.

  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Babuyan and Batanes Group of Islands - until Tuesday morning (Jan 20).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Jan 19...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: LPA formerly TD Mekkhala (Amang)
Location: Over Southeastern Isabela (near 16.8N 122.3E)
About: 25 km south-southwest of Palanan, Isabela...or 110 km southeast of Tuguegarao, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 50 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 700 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 26 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast
Towards: Babuyan Channel

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Jan 19, 2015
Location of Center: Near 16.8º N Lat 122.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 75 km NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 185 km ENE of Baguio City
Distance 3: 190 km S of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 70 km SE of Ilagan Isabela
Distance 5: 65 km E of Cauayan, Isabela

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118230657.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118230844.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on Ex-TD MEKKHALA (AMANG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2014 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

.

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