Sunday, August 20, 2017

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 93W StormWatch No. 01

 

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 93W StormWatch No. 01


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TROPICAL DISTUBANCE (LPA) 93W STORMWATCH #001

Issued at: 11:45 PM PhT (15:30 GMT) Saturday 19 August 2017
Next update: Sunday Late Evening, 20 August 2017 or earlier
Current Status and OutlookA Tropical Disturbance (LPA) over the North Philippine Sea, east of Northern Cagayan has been developing rapidly and could become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours. This potential system is expected to affect the northernmost islands of Extreme Northern Luzon, where scattered to occasional rains and thunderstorms beginning Sunday (Aug 20) through Monday (Aug 21).
Where is LPA 93W?As of 11:00 PM PhT today, August 19…1500 GMT.  The center was located over the mid-southern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 19.9N 129.3E), about 766 km east of Basco, Batanes or 768 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan. 
How strong is it?Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 45 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Westward @ 37 kph, towards Bashi-Balintang Channels Area.
Forecast Highlights
  • The Global Typhoon Forecast Models (GTFM) are initializing this system to develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours with a track towards Batanes or Taiwan Area.
  • The latest 24-hour Forecast (August 20) shows LPA 93W becoming a Tropical Depression (TD) or Tropical Storm (TS) while approaching the Balintang-Bashi Channel  Area.  This forecast is at MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.
  • LPA 93W and its associated Trough is expected to bring occasional to widespread rains and thunderstorms across Luzon and Visayas this weekend, particularly Cagayan, Babuyan and Batanes Group of Islands.
  • Once LPA 93W becomes a Tropical Cyclone, it will be locally named as "ISANG."  
  • This 24-hour StormWatch Update will be replaced with a 6-hourly  Tropical Cyclone Updates once it becomes a Tropical Depression.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Wednesday, August 02, 2017

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Monday, July 31, 2017

Tropical Depression HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 004 [FINAL]

 

Tropical Depression HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 004 [FINAL]


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TD HAITANG (HUANING) UPDATE NUMBER 004 [FINAL]

Issued at: 12:30 PM PhT (04:30 GMT) Monday 31 July 2017
Current Status and Outlook

HAITANG (HUANING) has made its final landfall over Fujian Province, Southern China this morning. Rapid dissipation of this depression into a remnant LPA is expected through the next 12 to 24 hours. Its decaying rainbands will continue to dump rains, thunderstorms and gale-force winds across the Chinese provinces of Fujian, Jiangxi, Hubei and parts of Zhejiang.

*This will be the Final Update on this tropical cyclone.

*The combination of TD HAITANG and the strong surge of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring occasional rains, gusty winds, and thunderstorms with large surfs across Taiwan.

Where is HAITANG (HUANING)?As of 11:00 AM PhT today, Jul 31…0300 GMT.  The center was located over the eastern part of Fujian Province, Southeastern China (near 26.1N 118.9E), about 39 km west of Fuzhou City, China or 703 km north-northwest of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Northwest @ 27 kphtowards Jiangxi-Hubei Area, Southeastern China
Potential Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?*:: None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

TUESDAY MORNING: Just a remnant area of low pressure (LPA) in the vicinity of Hubei Province…about 59 km east-southeast of Huangshi, China [8AM Aug 01: 30.1N 115.6E @ 30kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively…while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 510 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,033 (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon July 31, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 26.1º N Lat 118.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 133 km NNE of Quanzhou, China
Distance 2: 266 km WNW of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 689 km ENE of Hong Kong, China
Distance 4: 890 km NNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 1287 km N of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

huaningpsws17-04-f

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Tropical Depression HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 003

 


Tropical Depression HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 003

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAITANG (HUANING) UPDATE NUMBER 003

Issued at: 12:00 AM PhT (16:00 GMT) Monday 31 July 2017
Next update: Monday Afternoon, 31 July 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression HAITANG (HUANING) has made landfall over Pingtung County, Southern Taiwan at around 6-7 pm last night (July 30, 2017). It has weakened into a Tropical Depression (TD) as it moved north in the past 6 hours over the western coast of Taiwan. 

It is expected to move north-northwestward within the next 24 hours at a speed of 30 km/hr, making its second landfall over Fujian Province, Southeastern China where it will weaken into a Low Pressure Area (LPA).

*The combination of TD HAITANG and the strong surge of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring occasional rains, gusty winds, and thunderstorms with large surfs across the inland and coastal areas of Batanes Islands.

Where is HAITANG (HUANING)?As of 11:00 PM PhT, July 30…1500 GMT.  The center was located over the western coast of Taiwan (near 23.7N 120.2E), about 203 km southwest of Taipei, Taiwan or 405 km north-northwest of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving North @ 24 kphtowards Fujian Province, Southeastern China
Potential Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?*:: None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

MONDAY EVENING: Weakens into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) after making landfall over Fujian Province, Southeastern China…about 367 km northwest of Fuzhou, China [8PM July 31: 28.6N 116.9E @ 35kph].  Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively…while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 550 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 926 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sun July 30, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.7º N Lat 120.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 69 km SW of Taichung , Taiwan
Distance 2: 141 km NW of Taitung , Taiwan
Distance 3: 279 km SSE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 4: 572 km N of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 1019 km N of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines

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Sunday, July 30, 2017

Tropical Storm HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 002

 


Tropical Storm HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 002


TROPICAL STORM HAITANG (HUANING) UPDATE NUMBER 002

Issued at: 6:15 PM PhT (10:15 GMT) Sunday 30 July 2017
Next update: Monday Early Morning, 31 July 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm HAITANG (HUANING) has slightly weakened as it moved north in the past 6 hours over Southern Taiwan. Its rainbands continues to bring moderate to heavy rains with strong winds across the western portions of the Bashi and Balintang Channel. 

This storm is expected to move north-northwestward within the next 24 hours at a speed of 33 km/hr, making landfall over Pingtung County, Southern Taiwan. It will weaken to a Tropical Depression (TD) after its landfall over Southern Taiwan

*The combination of TS HAITANG and the strong surge of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring occasional rains, gusty winds, and thunderstorms with large surfs across the inland and coastal areas of Ilocos Provinces and the Batanes-Babuyan Islands.

Where is HAITANG (HUANING)?As of 5:00 PM PhT, July 30…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the Bashi Channel (near 22.4N 120.1E), about 111 km west-southwest of Taitung, Taiwan or 292 km northwest of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving North @ 22 kphtowards Southern Taiwan
Potential Landfall Area(s):: Over Pingtung County, Southern Taiwan between 6-7pm todaywith a high Strike Probability of 90-100%.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?*:: None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens to a Tropical Depression (TD) after making landfall over Southern Taiwan…about 293 km north-northwest of Fuzhou, China [2PM July 31: 28.4N 117.9E @ 45kph].  Confidence LevelLOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively…while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 615 km (Small)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun July 30, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 22.4º N Lat 120.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 311 km SSE of Quanzhou, China
Distance 2: 370 km NNW of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 3: 470 km N of Laoag  City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 4: 485 km NNW of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 872 km N of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Tropical Storm HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 001

 

Tropical Storm HAITANG (HUANING) Update Number 001

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TROPICAL STORM HAITANG (HUANING) UPDATE NUNMBER 001

Issued at: 2:30 PM PhT (06:30 GMT) Sunday 30 July 2017
Next update: Sunday Evening, 30 July 2017
Current Status and Outlook

The small Tropical Storm (TS) over the West Philippine Sea with a global name "HAITANG," a Chinese word for a flowering Crabapple – has accelerated rapidly northeastward and entered the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It is known in the Philippines as "HUANING."  Its rainbands is currently bringing moderate to heavy rains with strong winds across the western portions of Bashi and Balintang Channel. 

This storm is expected to turn northward within the next 12 to 24 hours at a forward speed of 25 km/hr, making landfall over Southern Taiwan later this afternoon or early evening.  HAITANG (HUANING) is forecast to lose strength as it interacts with the mountains of Taiwan tonight, and will emerge over the East China Sea on Monday morning (Jul 31).

*The combination of TS HAITANG and the strong surge of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring occasional rains, gusty winds, and thunderstorms with large surfs across the inland and coastal areas of Ilocos Provinces and the Batanes-Babuyan Islands.

Where is HAITANG (HUANING)?As of 11:00 AM PhT, July 30…0300 GMT.  The center was located over the Bashi Channel (near 21.2N 120.2E), about 335 km north of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 205 km west-northwest of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center…Gustiness: 95 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Northeast @ 39 kphtowards Southern Taiwan
Potential Landfall Area(s):: Over Pingtung County, Southern Taiwan between 4-5pm todaywith a high Strike Probability of 90-100%.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?*:: None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

MONDAY MORNING: Emerging over the East China Sea, after traversing Taiwan, just a Tropical Depression (TD) as it exits PAR…about 190 km west-northwest of Taipei, Taiwan [8AM July 31: 26.0N 120.0E @ 55kph].  Confidence LevelLOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively…while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 365 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sun July 30, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 21.2º N Lat 120.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 158 km S of Kaohsiung, Taiwan 
Distance 2: 176 km WNW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 260 km WNW of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 296 km NNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 735 km N of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

huaningpsws17-01

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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