for Monday, 27 June 2011 [1:00 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday June 25 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TS MEARI (FALCON).
MEARI (FALCON) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEARI [FALCON/07W/1105]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 023 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Mon 27 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #022/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
MEARI (FALCON) has made landfall over North Korea, near the City of Pyongyang...continues to weaken...just a weak Tropical Depression.
*This is the Final Advisory on this tropical cyclone.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon June 27 2011
Location of Center: 38.7º N Lat 125.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 40 km (22 nm) SW of Pyongyang, N.Korea
Distance 2: 190 km (103 nm) NW of Seoul, S.Korea
Distance 3: 535 km (290 nm) ENE of Qingdao, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: North Korea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 25 mm (Low)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Average
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft (2.4 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM PhT Mon June 27
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 1 day)*
MEARI (FALCON) is expected to continue moving NE-ward across North Korea today and dissipate. Below is the summary of the 1-day forecast for MEARI (FALCON).
TONIGHT (MON): Dissipates over North Korea...about 175 km ENE of Pyongyang, North Korea [8PM JUN 27: 39.9N 127.5E @ 35kph].
TOMORROW EARLY MORNING (TUE): Dissipated to the south of the North Korean-Russian Border or off the Sea of Japan...about 155 km SW of Vladivostok, Russia [2AM JUN 28: 41.9N 130.9E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. MEARI (FALCON) is a weak Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Complete dissipating of this system is expected tonight or early tomorrow morning. MEARI has shrunk to an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 665 kilometers (360 nautical miles) across.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: WEAK >> Cloudy with possible occasional showers will be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) will blow.
MEARI's (FALCON) circulation just affecting the Korean Peninsula and portion of the Yellow Sea. Below are the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
WEAKENING RAINBANDS - spreading and affecting North & South Korea and the Yellow Sea.. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 10 mm (low rainfall) can be expected along the rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 25 mm (low) near the center of MEARI (FALCON). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA/1010 MB) has moved NW across the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) and has become fragmanted. Its possible center was located near lat 19.3N lon 118.4E...about 260 km NW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte, PH...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 25 kph near the center. The 24-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system has decreased further to @ 20% [Low]. View the latest satellite flash loop on this disturbance.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: WEAK >> Cloudy with possible occasional showers will be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) will blow.
CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: WEAK >> Cloudy with possible occasional showers will be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) will blow.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) MON 27 JUNE POSITION: 38.3N 124.7E.
>> MEARI, meaning: Reflection of sound or echo. Name contributed by: DPR Korea.
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TD MEARI (FALCON)...go visit our website @:
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