for Friday, 24 June 2011 [9:30 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday June 23 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 3:00 AM) on TS HAIMA (EGAY).
HAIMA (EGAY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM HAIMA [EGAY/06W/1104]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 026
8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Fri 24 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm HAIMA (EGAY) has started making landfall along the coastline of Northern Vietnam...weakened slightly. Stormy weather will prevail along the area.
Residents and visitors along Hainan Island & Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of HAIMA (EGAY).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 8:00 PM PhT Fri June 24 2011
Location of Center: 20.3º N Lat 106.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 100 km (55 nm) SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Towards: Northern Vietnam
24hr Rainfall Accum (SW of center): 320 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 25-30 mm/hr (Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 990 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 350 km (190 nm) / Average
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
JMA TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 PM HKT Fri June 24
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*
HAIMA (EGAY) is expected to dissipate as it moves across Northern Vietnam within the next 12-24 hours.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 65 km/hr (35 knots) with higher gusts. HAIMA (EGAY) is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy with widespread moderate to heavy on-&-off rains w/ squalls & thunderstorms will be expected along the following affected areas: VIETNAM & NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 65 kph) will blow.
HAIMA's (EGAY) circulation remains compact as it moves into Northern Vietnam. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
INNER RAINBANDS - spreading & affecting Coastal areas of Northern Vietnam & the Gulf of Tonkin. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 kph) can be expected along these bands.
RAINBANDS - spreading & affecting rest of Northern Vietnam & Hainan Island. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 150 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 320 mm (high) south and southwest from the center of HAIMA (EGAY). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 PM (06 GMT) FRI 24 JUNE POSITION: 20.3N 107.3E.
*RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 232242Z AMSRE MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW EXTENSIVE
LOW CLOUD COVER AND DEEP CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. THE 32 DEGREE WATERS OF THE GULF OF TONKIN
HAVE REINVIGORATED THE STORM. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ASSESSMENT IS
BASED PRIMARILY ON A DVORAK ANALYSIS OF 30 KNOTS FROM PGTW. THE
2400000Z UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WELL-ESTABLISHED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN SAUDI ARABIA TO EASTERN
CHINA. NORTHEASTERLIES FLOWING OUT OF THE ANTICYCLONE ARE IMPINGING
ON POLEWARD OUTFLOW BUT OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, THEY SEEM TO BE
AIDING EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS 15 TO 20 KNOTS
AND SHOULD REMAIN STEADY THROUGH LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM.
THUS TS 06W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AT MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER LAND...(more)
>> HAIMA, meaning: A sea horse. Name contributed by: China.
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RECENT JMA TRACKING CHART:
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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
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> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS HAIMA (EGAY)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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