Saturday, June 11, 2011

TS SARIKA [DODONG] - Final Update

 


for Saturday, 11 June 2011 [12:39 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday June 11 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TD SARIKA (DODONG).


SARIKA (DODONG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARIKA [DODONG/05W/1103]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006 **FINAL**

12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Sat 11 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #009/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression SARIKA (DODONG) has started to dissipate as it moves further inland off Fujian Province. Complete dissipation expected within 12 to 24 hours.

This is the final advisory on this system.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Sat June 11 2011
Location of Center: 24.0º N Lat 117.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 85 km (45 nm) NE of Shantou City, China
Distance 2: 105 km (57 nm) WSW of Xiamen City, China
Distance 3: 360 km (195 nm) ENE of Hong Kong
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Fujian Province
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 120 mm (Medium)
Rainrate (near center): 25-30 mm/hr (Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Size (in Diameter): 260 km (140 nm) / Small
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): .. ft (... m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM HKT Sat June 11

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*

SARIKA (DODONG) is expected to rapdily dissipate as it moves deeper across Fujian Province off China.

THIS EVENING (SAT):  Dissipating over land, just an area of low pressure off Fujian Province...about 120 km NW of Fuzhou City, China [8PM JUN 11: 26.1N 118.1E @ 35kph].
TOMORROW MORNING (SUN):  Dissipated along Zhejiang Province (China) [8AM JUN 12: 28.9N 119.4E @ 30kph].

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. SARIKA (DODONG) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. SARIKA is a small-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 260 kilometers (140 nautical miles).

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

SARIKA's (DODONG) circulation has started to breakdown with only a few amounts off the SW portion. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DISSIPATING RAINBANDS - affecting Fujian Province of China. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 50 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 120 mm (medium) near the center of SARIKA (DODONG). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) SAT 11 JUNE POSITION: 23.6N 117.1E.
*..(more)

>> SARIKA, meaning: A singing birdName contributed by:Cambodia.

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RECENT JTWC / WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
:

 
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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


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RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg 
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  


> Image source:  Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
:  



> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS SARIKA (DODONG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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1 comment:

brooker12 said...

i wanna be a student again, lol, it was just exciting every time the classes was suspended. just like when we are hit by typhoon dodong, reming, and milenyo.