for Tuesday, 21 June 2011 [4:55 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tuesday June 21 2011):
Now issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on LPA 99W (FALCON). Please be advised that T2K Public Advisories are taken from the United States' Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and/or Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), with real-time extrapolation used in depicting the exact location of tropical cyclones.
99W (FALCON) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99W [FALCON]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Tue 21 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Formation Alert/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 99W (FALCON) has moved quickly towards the northwest, as it consolidates very slowly. Meanwhile, PAGASA has already upgraded this system into Tropical Depression FALCON, kindly click here to visit their current bulletin.
Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol & Luzon should closely monitor the progress of 99W (Pre-FALCON).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Tue June 21 2011
Location of Center: 12.6º N Lat 130.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 555 km (300 nm) ENE of Borongan City
Distance 2: 630 km (340 nm) East of Catarman, N.Samar
Distance 3: 680 km (368 nm) ESE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 4: 785 km (425 nm) ESE of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 40 kph (22 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph (30 kts)
Present Movement: NW @ 30 kph (16 kts)
Towards: Extreme Northern Luzon
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: LPA
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft (-.- m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
JTWC TrackMap (for Public): 11:00 AM PhT Tue June 21
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
99W's (FALCON) broad circulation still consolidating over the Philippine Seas with its westernmost outer rainbands now affecting the coastal areas of Eastern Visayas. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: 
DEVELOPING WESTERN RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading along the eastern coast of Samar, Dinagat & Siargao Islands. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) TUE 21 JUNE POSITION: 11.0N 132.6E.
*THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 135.5E IS NOW
LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 132.6E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF
PALAU. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP
CONVECTION IN A WIDE ARC LEADING INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN END OF THE ARC IS STARTING
TO WRAP AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC BUT IT DOES NOT
APPEAR TO HAVE FULLY CLOSED OFF AND WRAPPED INTO THE CENTER. A
202255Z SSMIS PASS SHOWS A SIMILAR DEPICTION WITH VERY LITTLE
CONVECTION OVER THE LLCC. A 210018Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN ELONGATED
CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH 15 TO 20KTS OF WINDS AROUND THE CENTER AND
MUCH STRONGER 20-25 KTS WINDS DISPLACED TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF
THE LLCC. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS
CONSIDERABLE OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INTO TWO TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGHS (TUTT) LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND TO THE
NORTHEAST. THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXTREMELY FAVORABLE, AND IT APPEARS
THAT THE LARGE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM IS CAUSING IT TO TAKE LONGER THAN
EXPECTED TO BECOME ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH...(more)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT JTWC TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
**N/A**
RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
***N/A***
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
***N/A***
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
***N/A***
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
***N/A***
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
NOTE:
* - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on LPA 99W (FALCON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on LPA 99W (FALCON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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