for Tuesday, 21 June 2011 [6:16 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday June 20 2011):
Now issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on LPA 99W (Pre-FALCON).
99W (Pre-FALCON) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 35 km/hr
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99W [Pre-FALCON]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Tue 21 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Formation Alert/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 99W (Pre-FALCON) slows down while moving Westerly across the warm Philippine Sea...will become a Tropical Cyclone today.
Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol & Luzon should closely monitor the progress of 99W (Pre-FALCON).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Tue June 21 2011
Location of Center: 10.9º N Lat 132.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 725 km (392 nm) ESE of Borongan City
Distance 2: 825 km (445 nm) ESE of Catarman, N.Samar
Distance 3: 895 km (483 nm) ESE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 4: 1000 km (540 nm) ESE of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 40 kph (22 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph (30 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Towards: Eastern Luzon
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: LPA
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft (-.- m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
JTWC TrackMap (for Public): 11:00 AM PhT Mon June 20
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) MON 20 JUNE POSITION: 10.8N 135.5E.
*THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.5N
139.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 135.5E, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF YAP. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION INCREASING NEAR A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ALSO EVIDENT IN A 192133Z SSMIS IMAGE. THE
DISTURBANCE IS PASSING THROUGH AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND VERY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON INCREASING
ORGANIZATION AND VERY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH...(more)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT JTWC TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
**N/A**
RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
***N/A***
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
***N/A***
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
***N/A***
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
***N/A***
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
NOTE:
* - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on LPA 99W (Pre-FALCON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on LPA 99W (Pre-FALCON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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