for Wednesday, 22 June 2011 [7:30 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wednesday June 22 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TS HAIMA (EGAY).
HAIMA (EGAY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAIMA [EGAY/06W/1104]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 019
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wed 22 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #021/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression HAIMA (EGAY) has jogged northward as it intensified slightly during the past 6 hours...threatens Western Guangdong including Hong Kong-Macau Area.
Residents and visitors along Hainan Island, Southern & Southwestern China should closely monitor the progress of HAIMA (EGAY).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed June 22 2011
Location of Center: 20.1º N Lat 114.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 235 km (127 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 2: 255 km (138 nm) SSE of Macau
Distance 3: 450 km (243 nm) East of Qionghai, Hainan
Distance 4: 455 km (245 nm) ESE of Zhanjiang, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Towards: Western Guangdong
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 250 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 20-25 mm/hr (Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Size (in Diameter): 740 km (400 nm) / Large
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft (3.3 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 AM HKT Wed June 22
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 2 days)* HAIMA's CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)*
06W (EGAY) is expected to remain a depression throughout the 2-day forecast...will return to its usual WNW path. This system shall make landfall near Zhanjiang City by Thursday evening (June 23).
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. 06W (EGAY) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. 
ZHANJIANG CITY AREA: about 25 km SW of Zhanjiang City [ETA: 6:00 PM to 7:00 PM Thursday, June 23].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy with widespread moderate to heavy on-&-off rains w/ squalls & thunderstorms will be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.
HAIMA's (EGAY) circulation trying to reorganize while over the South China Sea. Most of its intense raincloud convection situated to the south and southwest of the low-level circulation center (LLCC). Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: RAINBANDS - over water (South China Sea), but with some of its scattered bands affecting Southern China Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 250 mm (high) near the center of 06W (EGAY). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 AM (18 GMT) WED 22 JUNE POSITION: 19.0N 114.7E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (HAIMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM
SOUTH OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANT
WARMING OF THE CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC), WITH DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE SYSTEM. A 211742Z AMSU PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE
SOUTH AND TO THE WEST WITH THE CENTER POORLY DEFINED AND DEVOID OF
CONVECTION. A 211302Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS 30KTS OF WIND TO THE SOUTH OF
THE LLCC BUT AT THE CENTER WINDS ARE RELATIVELY WEAK AT 15-20KTS.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IN AN AREA OF CONVERGENT FLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. THIS APPEARS TO BE HAMPERING THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
CENTER AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF 06W. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING ALONG
THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE ASIATIC HIGH LOCATED OVER SOUTHEAST
CHINA. AS THIS HIGH MIGRATES TO THE EAST AND BECOMES ABSORBED BY THE
MID-PACIFIC HIGH, TD 06W WILL START TO GAIN LATITUDE AND MAKE
LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN CHINA...(more)
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RECENT JTWC / WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART: 
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 06W (EGAY)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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