for Sunday, 26 June 2011 [10:33 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday June 25 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TS MEARI (FALCON).
MEARI (FALCON) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM MEARI [FALCON/07W/1105]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020
11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Sun 26 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #018/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm MEARI (FALCON) maintains its decaying stage as it moves faster Northward...approaching the West Coast of North Korea. Meanwhile, a new Tropical Disturbance (LPA) tagged as "90W" has been spotted forming off the South China Sea (aka. West Philippine Sea), west of Ilocos Norte (see TC WATCH below for more details). This LPA will continue to enhance the SW Monsoon across Northern & Central Luzon.
Residents and visitors along the Korean Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of MEARI (FALCON).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sun June 26 2011
Location of Center: 36.3º N Lat 124.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 270 km (145 nm) WSW of Seoul, S.Korea
Distance 2: 365 km (197 nm) NW of Cheju Island
Distance 3: 375 km (203 nm) East of Qingdao, China
Distance 4: 320 km (172 nm) SSW of Pyongyang, N.Korea
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 55 kph (30 kts)
Towards: North Korean-Chinese Border
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 130 mm (Med)
Rainrate (near center): 20 mm/hr (Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 1,035 km (560 nm) / Very Large
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft (7.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0-3 ft [0.0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM PhT Sun June 26
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 1 day)*
MEARI (FALCON) is expected to turn NNE to NE-ward across the North Korean-Chinese Border within the next 24 hours and dissipate completerly. Below is the summary of the 1-day forecast for MEARI (FALCON). 
THIS EVENING (SUN): Makes landfall as a Tropical Depression (TD) - along the Northwesternmost part of North Korea, near the Chinese-North Korean Border...about 125 km NW of Pyongyang, North Korea [8PM JUN 26: 39.8N 124.8E @ 55kph]. TOMORROW MORNING (MON): Dissipated along the Northeasternmost part of China...about 290 km NW of Vladivostok, Russia [8AM JUN 27: 44.9N 129.3E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 75 km/hr (40 knots) with higher gusts. MEARI (FALCON) is a Tropical Storm (STS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Further weakening on this system is expected today. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 km/hr) extend outward up to 280 kilometers (150 nautical miles) from the center. MEARI is a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 1,035 kilometers (560 nautical miles) across.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Cloudy with occasional to widespread moderate to heavy rains w/ squalls & thunderstorms will continue to prevail along the following affected areas: WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 55 kph) will blow.
MEARI's (FALCON) very large circulation continues to dominate the Yellow, East China & Japan Seas and the Korean Peninsula including Northern China. Below are the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: INNER RAINBANDS (with a developing CDO) - spreading and affecting the Central Yellow Sea, Cheju Island and the west coast of South and North Korea. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 kph) can be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - spreading and affecting portions of Northern China, North & South Korea, Sea of Japan, East China Sea and the main Japanese Islands of Kyushu and Westernmost Honshu.. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 75 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 130 mm (medium-high) near the center of MEARI (FALCON). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA/1009 MB) west of Ilocos Provinces (off the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea) has tracked NE-ward over the past 6 hours. Its possible center was located near lat 18.1N lon 117.0E...about 380 km West of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte, PH...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center...moving NE @ 15 kph towards Extreme Northern Luzon. The 24-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system remains @ 40% [Medium]. View the latest satellite flash loop on this disturbance.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) SUN 26 JUNE POSITION: 35.1N 124.4E.
*TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 30 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY
WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION THAT IS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS MOVED INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. THE SUBSIDENCE OF THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW, ALONG
WITH UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AROUND TS 07W, ARE
SUPPRESSING THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS
CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. POSITION IS BASED
ON THE FIX FROM PGTW AND FROM ANIMATED RADAR DATA FROM SOUTH KOREA.
INTENSITY IS BASED ON LOCAL SHORE OBSERVATIONS AND A PREVIOUS
251324Z ASCAT PASS...(more info)
>> MEARI, meaning: Reflection of sound or echo. Name contributed by: DPR Korea.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART: 
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> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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LATEST 12-18HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS MEARI (FALCON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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