for Thursday, 23 June 2011 [2:30 PM PhT]
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on FALCON!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*Only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
Click here on how to use this service (in PDF file)
Powered by: Synermaxx Corporation
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday June 23 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 2:00 AM) on TS HAIMA (EGAY). Please be reminded that updates on TS HAIMA will now be at 2PM, 8PM, and 8AM due to difficulty in releasing the advisories during the presence of two tropical cyclones.
HAIMA (EGAY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 90 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM HAIMA [EGAY/06W/1104]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 023
2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Thu 23 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #026/HKO TC Bulletins/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
HAIMA (EGAY) becomes a Tropical Storm...now making landfall over Western Guangdong, ENE of Zhanjiang City. Rapid dissipation of this system expected within 24 hours.
Residents and visitors along Hainan Island, Southern & Southwestern China should closely monitor the progress of HAIMA (EGAY).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 2:00 PM PhT Thu June 23 2011
Location of Center: 21.5º N Lat 110.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 45 km (85 nm) ENE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 2: 170 km (92 nm) NNE of Haikou, Hainan
Distance 3: 280 km (150 nm) WSW of Macau
Distance 4: 350 km (190 nm) WSW of Hong Kong
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: Western Guangdong
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (SW of center): 200 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 25-30 mm/hr (Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 PM HKT Thu June 23
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*
HAIMA (EGAY) is expected to dissipate throughout the 1-day forecast as it makes landfall over SW China.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 75 km/hr (40 knots) with higher gusts. HAIMA (EGAY) is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy with widespread moderate to heavy on-&-off rains w/ squalls & thunderstorms will be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.
HAIMA's (EGAY) circulation has become better organized prior in making landfall over SW China. Most of its intense raincloud convection remains to the south and southwest of the low-level circulation center (LLCC). Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
INNER RAINBANDS - spreading & affecting Western Guangdong particularly Zhanjiang City. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 kph) can be expected along these bands.
RAINBANDS - spreading and affecting rest of Guangdong Province, Gulf of Tonkin & Hainan Island Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 200 mm (high) south and southwest from the center of HAIMA (EGAY). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) THU 23 JUNE POSITION: 21.3N 112.2E.
*..(more)
>> HAIMA, meaning: A sea horse. Name contributed by: China.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT JTWC / WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 12-18 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS HAIMA (EGAY)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2011 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
No comments:
Post a Comment