for Saturday, 11 June 2011 [7:31 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday June 11 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TD SARIKA (DODONG).
SARIKA (DODONG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARIKA [DODONG/05W/1103]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Sat 11 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #008/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
SARIKA (DODONG) weakens as it makes landfall near Shantou, China...just a Tropical Depression.
Residents and visitors along Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of SARIKA (DODONG).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Sat June 11 2011
Location of Center: 23.4º N Lat 116.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 15 km (08 nm) East of Shantou City, China
Distance 2: 180 km (97 nm) SW of Xiamen City, China
Distance 3: 300 km (162 nm) ENE of Hong Kong
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 24 kph (13 kts)
Towards: Fujian Province
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 180 mm (Medium)
Rainrate (near center): 2-15 mm/hr (Light-Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Size (in Diameter): 260 km (140 nm) / Small
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 AM HKT Sat June 11
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*
SARIKA (DODONG) is expected to rapdily dissipate as it moves deeper across Fujian Province off China.
THIS AFTERNOON (SAT): Weakens further to just a weak TD while over Fujian...about 100 km NW of Xiamen City, China [2PM JUN 11: 25.0N 117.3E @ 45kph]. TOMORROW EARLY MORNING (SUN): Dissipated off the Fujian-Zhejiang Border (China) [2AM JUN 12: 27.6N 118.9E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. SARIKA (DODONG) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. SARIKA is a small-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 260 kilometers (140 nautical miles).
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
SARIKA's (DODONG) circulation has lost most of its rain-cloud convection with only a few amounts off the SW portion. Below are the summary of the typhoon's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: SPORADIC RAINBANDS - affecting Fujian Province of China. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 80 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 180 mm (medium) near the center of SARIKA (DODONG). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 AM (18 GMT) SAT 11 JUNE POSITION: 22.6N 116.8E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (SARIKA) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM EAST
OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06
HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A VERY SMALL FLARE OF
CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. POSITION
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BASED ON THE EXPOSED LLCC EVIDENT IN IR IMAGERY.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON PGTW AND KNES DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 25 TO 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
INDICATES TS SARIKA IS ON THE SUBSIDENT WESTERN EDGE OF A TROPICAL
UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH IN A REGION OF MODERATE TO HIGH (15-25
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS SYSTEM IS TRACKING ALONG THE
WESTERN EDGE OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK MORE NORTHEASTERLY AS IT ROUNDS THE RIDGE AXIS. TS SARIKA IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN DISSIPATION AFTER MAKING LANDFALL DURING THE NEXT
6 TO 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETELY DISSIPATED BY TAU 24.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THEREFORE, THIS
FORECAST REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS JTWC FORECAST TRACK
AND IS CLOSE TO MODEL CONSENSUS..(more)
>> SARIKA, meaning: A singing bird. Name contributed by:Cambodia.
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RECENT JTWC / WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART: 
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS SARIKA (DODONG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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