Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Super Typhoon MAYSAK Update #002

 



for Tuesday, 31 March 2015 [8:28 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

SUPER TYPHOON MAYSAK UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday 31 March 2015
Next Update: Wednesday Morning, 01 April 2015


MAYSAK continues to rapidly intensify and now attains Super Typhoon strength while traversing the warm waters of the Western North Pacific Ocean - may pose a threat to the Philippines this weekend. Forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Thursday morning (April 02).

Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region and Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Maysak.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None for the next 4 days.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Mar 31...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: STY Maysak
Location: Over Western Micronesia, Caroline Islands (near 10.1N 140.5E)
About: 270 km east-northeast of Colonia, Yap...or 600 km east of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 240 kph near the center...Gustiness: 295 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 960 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 130 km from the Center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 25 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 20 kph
Towards: Western Micronesia-Eastern Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

STY MAYSAK will continue to move on a generally west-northwest track throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, MAYSAK will pass close to the north of Yap and Ulithi Islands on Wednesday early morning and shall be entering the PAR on Thursday morning (Apr 02).

MAYSAK will continue to gain strength within the next 24 hours, before it starts its weakening trend through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing further to 270 kph by Wednesday afternoon.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Approaching PAR, strengthens more...about 240 km northwest of Colonia, Yap [2PM APR 01: 11.3N 136.9E @ 240kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Entering the easternmost-central part of the Philippine, weakens slightly...about 1,070 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM APR 02: 12.5N 134.1E @ 220kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Turns slightly to northwest, continues to gradually weaken as it tracks across the eastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 760 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM APR 03: 14.3N 131.3E @ 200kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Mar 31, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 10.1º N Lat 140.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 595 km SW of Hagatna, Guam
Distance 2: 730 km NE of Koror, Palau
Distance 3: 1590 km E of Northern Mindanao, PHL
Distance 4: 1620 km ESE of Samar, PHL
Distance 5: 1795 km ESE of Bicol Region, PHL

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150331110403.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150331110452.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/imagery/rb0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on STY MAYSAK...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

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Typhoon MAYSAK Update #001

 



for Tuesday, 31 March 2015 [7:19 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON MAYSAK UPDATE NUMBER 001
Issued at: 6:45 AM PhT (22:45 GMT) Tuesday 31 March 2015
Next Update: Tuesday Evening, 31 March 2015


The powerful tropical cyclone MAYSAK which has been rapidly gaining strength while moving over the warm waters of the Western Pacific Ocean - may pose a threat to the Philippines this weekend. Now at Near-Super Typhoon strength, MAYSAK continues to move closer to the Western Micronesian Islands of Yap and Ulithi. Forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early Thursday morning (April 02).

Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region and Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Maysak.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None for the next 4 days.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Mar 31...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY Maysak
Location: Over Western Micronesia, Caroline Islands (near 9.5N 143.0E)
About: 475 km south-southwest of Hagatna, Guam...or 535 km east of Colonia, Yap
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 215 kph near the center...Gustiness: 260 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 929 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 655 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 130 km from the Center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 22 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Southwest @ 21 kph
Towards: Western Micronesia


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TY MAYSAK will continue to move on a generally west-northwest track throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, MAYSAK will pass close to the north of Yap and Ulithi Islands on Wednesday morning and shall be approaching the PAR on Thursday morning (Apr 02).

MAYSAK will reach Super Typhoon status within the next 12 to 24 hours, before it starts its weakening trend through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing rapidly to 240 kph by early Wednesday morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to decay over the Central Philippine Sea as it tracks due westward...about 565 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2AM APR 01: 10.5N 139.0E @ 240kph].
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Decaying further into a shallow low pressure area as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 210 km north-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2AM APR 02: 12.0N 135.4E @ 220kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to decay, near the coasts of Aurora and Quezon Provinces...about 70 km east-southeast of Baler, Aurora [2AM APR 03: 13.0N 132.9E @ 195kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Mar 31, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 9.5º N Lat 143.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 875 km E of P.A.R.
Distance 2: 965 km ENE of Koror, Palau
Distance 3: 1875 km E of Northern Mindanao, PHL
Distance 4: 1935 km ESE of Samar, PHL
Distance 5: 2080 km ESE of Bicol Region, PHL

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://dev.weather.com.ph/images/20150330225738.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://dev.weather.com.ph/images/20150330225839.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/imagery/rb0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY MAYSAK...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

.

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Thursday, March 19, 2015

Ex-TD BAVI (BETTY) Final Update

 



for Wednesday, 18 March 2015 [8:22 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) {Formerly TD BAVI/BETTY} UPDATE NUMBER 005 [FINAL]
Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Wednesday 18 March 2015

BAVI (BETTY) has dissipated into a Tropical Disturbance (aka. Low Pressure Area) as it moves slightly west-northwestward across the not-so-warm Philippine Sea. Its remnants will reach Bicol and Quezon Provinces this weekend and bring slight to moderate rain showers to the area.

*Unless regeneration occurs, this will be the last update on Bavi (Betty).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Mar 18...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: LPA...Ex-TD Bavi (Betty)
Location: Over the central part of the Philippine Sea (near 16.0N 131.2E)
About: 790 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 970 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 5 to 30 mm [Slight to Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 150 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 18 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Southwest @ 10 kph
Towards: Central Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

The Low Pressure Area (LPA) [formerly TD Bavi (Betty)] is expected to move generally west to west-southwest throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, this LPA will be tracking across the Central and Western parts of the Philippine Sea on Thursday through Friday (Mar 19-20).

The LPA will continue to dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 20 kph on Friday afternoon.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay over the Central Philippine Sea as it tracks due westward...about 565 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 19: 15.7N 129.1E @ 30kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Decaying further into a shallow low pressure area as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 210 km north-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 20: 15.1N 125.5E @ 20kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Mar 18, 2015
Location of Center: Near 16.0º N Lat 131.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 865 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 2: 900 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 3: 915 km ENE of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 4: 1025 km ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 5: 1025 km ENE of Baler, Aurora

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150318104648.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150318104909.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on Ex-TD BAVI (BETTY)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

TD BAVI (BETTY) Update #002

 



for Wednesday, 18 March 2015 [8:00 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BAVI (BETTY) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 18 March 2015
Next Update: Wednesday Evening, 18 March 2015


BAVI (BETTY) has rapidly weakened into a Tropical Depression last night as it tracks over an unfavorable atmospheric conditions across the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea. It is likely to dissipate into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) {aka. Tropical Disturbance) within the next 12 to 24 hours.

Residents and visitors along the Eastern Luzon incl. Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of Bavi (Betty).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Mar 18...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TD Bavi (Betty)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.8N 133.1E)
About: 975 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,175 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 5 to 30 mm [Slight to Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 200 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 14 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 16 kph
Towards: Central Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TD Bavi (Betty) is expected to move generally west during the next 24 hours, with a turn to the west-southwest on the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, Bavi (Betty) will be tracking across the Central through Western parts of the Philippine Sea on Thursday through Friday (Mar 19-20).

TD Bavi (Betty) will continue to weaken within the next 12 to 24 hours and will dissipate into an area of Low Pressure this evening or Thursday early morning. This is due to the unfavorable atmosphere and relatively colder sea-surface temperatures over the Philippine Sea. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph on Thursday early morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipates into a Low Pressure Area as it tracks due west across the central part of the Philippine Sea...about 670 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2AM MAR 19: 16.0N 130.0E @ 35kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens further into a shallow low pressure area as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 305 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2AM MAR 20: 15.8N 126.0E @ 30kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to decay, near the coasts of Aurora and Quezon Provinces...about 70 km east-southeast of Baler, Aurora [2AM MAR 21: 15.5N 122.2E @ 25kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed Mar 18, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.8º N Lat 133.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 1050 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 2: 1090 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 3: 1110 km ENE of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 4: 1225 km ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 5: 1230 km E of Baler, Aurora

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150317225208.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150317225313.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD BAVI (BETTY)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

.

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