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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wednesday April 06 2011):
Ending the 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 02W (AMANG) as it dissipates over water.
02W (AMANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W [AMANG]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 009 **FINAL**
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wed 06 April 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #005/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression 02W (AMANG) has weakened as it moves farther away from the Northernmost Mariana Islands...will dissipate into a disturbance (LPA) later tonight.
*This is the Final Advisory on Western Pacific's 2nd Tropical Cyclone of 2011.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Wed Apr 06 2011
Location of Center: 16.7º N Lat 147.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 255 km (137 nm) NE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 470 km (253 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 3: 1330 km (718 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 2680 km (1447 nm) East of Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: East @ 33 kph (18 kts)
Towards: NW Pacific Ocean
12-18hr Total Rainfall (near center): 200 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM PhT Wed Apr 06
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*
02W (AMANG) will continue moving ENE to NE-ward across the NW Pacific and dissipate over water within the next 12 to 24 hours. Later tonight through tomorrow morning (Apr 07), 02W will just be an area of low pressure [8PM APR 06: 18.6N 150.4E @ 35kph...8AM APR 07: 19.4N 153.7E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) has decreased to near 65 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 02W (AMANG) is a weak Tropical Depression on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
02W's weakening circulation remains over water (NW Pacific Ocean) and its sheared rainbands has moved away from the northernmost Mariana Islands. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
SHEARED RAINBANDS - remains over water, and no longer affecting Northernmost Marianas. Light to moderate winds (<55 kph) w/ occasional rains can be expected along these bands. (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 50 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 160 mm (heavy) to the northeast of 02W's center [click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic].
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs! _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Tropical Disturbance 97W (LPA/1010 MB) continues to remain almost stationary near the NW Coast of Sabah, Malaysia. The ill-defined center was located near lat 6.2N lon 112.4E...about 585 km SSW of Pagasa Island, Spratlys or 300 km WNW of Brunei...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center. Its rainbands continues to affect the NW coast of Sabah including Brunei. The 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system remains @ 40%. Click here to view current satellite image and flash animation.
External Links for TD 02W (AMANG)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0211.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) WED 06 APRIL POSITION: 17.6N 146.8E.
*TD 02W HAS BEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)
ASSOCIATED WITH A BAROCLINIC ZONE FOR THE PAST 12-24 HOURS. CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE 06/00Z PGTW DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25
KNOTS. TD 02W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AND DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 HOURS.THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN)...(more)
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM'S JTWC TRACKING CHART:
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
LATEST 12-18 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TD 02W (AMANG)...go visit our website @:
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