for Saturday, 02 April 2011 [6:35 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday April 02 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 01W located off the South China Sea.
01W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Vietnam (NCHMF/10-min avg): 52 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Sat 02 April 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #002/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression 01W (Unnamed) has drifted NNE slowly while remaining quasi-stationary over the warm waters of the South China Sea. Heavy rainbands continues to spread across the Southern and Southeastern Vietnam. Meanwhile, the large Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) over the Philippine Sea, east of Samar has started to consolidate (see below for more details).
Residents and visitors along Southern & SE Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 01W.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 48 hours)*
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Sat Apr 02 2011
Location of Center: 9.7º N Lat 111.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 345 km (186 nm) WSW of Pagasa Is., Spratlys
Distance 2: 375 km (202 nm) SE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 540 km (292 nm) ESE of Ho Chi Minh City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: NNE @ 03 kph (02 kts)
Towards [Landfall Area]: N/A
ETA over Landfall Area: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 PM PhT Sat Apr 02
01W is expected to track WSW to SW-ward across the South China Sea for the next 2 days. It will intensify slightly just below Tropical Storm strength tonight until tomorrow afternoon. By early Monday morning, 01W will start to dissipate as upper-level winds increases over the South China Sea...losing depression status on Monday afternoon (Apr 4) [2PM APR 03: 9.2N 111.0E @ 55kph...2AM APR 04: 9.1N 110.9E @ 45kph...2PM APR 04: 9.0N 110.8E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 01W is a weak Tropical Depression on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
01W rainbands will affect the coastal areas of Southeastern Vietnam today. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: 
DEVELOPING SPIRAL RAINBANDS - affecting Southeastern Vietnam. Where light to moderate winds (<35 kph) w/ occasional rains can be expected along these bands today. (click here to know more about Rainbands).
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs! External Links for TD 01W (UNNAMED)
Large Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA/1004 MB) consolidating over the Philippine Sea and was relocated. It was positioned near lat 11.0N lon 129.9E...about 495 km ESE of Borongan, Eastern Samar...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center...almost stationary. Its western rainbands are affecting Eastern Visayas and Eastern Mindanao. The 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system is now @ 60%. Click here to view current satellite visible image and flash animation.
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0111.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED WITH WEAK AND FRAGMENTED CONVECTION DISPLACED
WESTWARD. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION WITH A FAIR
DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK
ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE SYSTEM IS TO THE SOUTH OF A RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE
EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). LOW LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS BEING ENHANCED BY A SURGE OF
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NORTHEAST MONSOON. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED, DISSIPATING
WITHIN 48 HOURS MAINLY DUE TO PERSISTENT VWS...(more)
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
**NOT YET AVAILABLE**
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 01W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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