for Sunday, 03 April 2011 [6:24 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday April 03 2011):
Now ending the 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 01W - as the system dissipates.
01W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Vietnam (NCHMF/10-min avg): 46 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005 **FINAL**
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Sun 03 April 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #006/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression 01W (Unnamed) has started dissipating while over the South China Sea. It is expected to dissipate within the next 12 hours. Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) has accelerated Eastward while over the Philippine Sea...may become a Tropical Depression later tonight (see below for more details).
*Unless regeneration occurs, this will be the last and final advisory on 01W. A new advisory will be issued once LPA 95W develops.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Sun Apr 03 2011
Location of Ill-Defined Center: 9.0º N Lat 112.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 335 km (180 nm) SW of Pagasa Is., Spratlys
Distance 2: 475 km (256 nm) SE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 625 km (338 nm) ESE of Ho Chi Minh City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: SSE @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Towards [Landfall Area]: N/A
ETA over Landfall Area: N/A
06-12hr Total Rainfall (near center): 110 mm (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 PM PhT Sun Apr 03
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 12 hours)*
01W is expected to continue drifting slowly southward across the South China Sea for the next 12 hours and dissipate [2AM APR 04: 8.7N 111.7E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 01W is a weak Tropical Depression on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
01W's outer periphery will continue to affect the coastal areas of Southeastern Vietnam today. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: 
WESTERN OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting the coastal areas of Southeastern Vietnam. Where light to moderate winds (<35 kph) w/ occasional rains can be expected along these bands today. (click here to know more about Rainbands).
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA/1003 MB) continues to slowly organize and has tracked Eastward across the Philippine Sea during the past 6 hours. The ill-defined center was located near lat 9.7N lon 132.6E...about 780 km East of Surigao City, NE Mindanao or 605 km WNW of Yap, Federal State of Micronesia (FSM)...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 40 kph near the center. Its broad rainbands remains across the Southeastern Philippine Sea, not affecting any part of the Philippine Islands. Various Computer Guidance Models continues to forecast 95W to reach Tropical Depression status within 06 to 18 hours and will track East to ENE-ward in the direction of the Northern Mariana Islands - away from the Philippines. The 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system is now @ 95%. Click here to view current satellite visible image and flash animation.
External Links for TD 01W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0111.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 12 hrs Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 PM (06 GMT) SUN 03 APRIL POSITION: 9.1N 111.7E.
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) REMAINS FULLY EXPOSED AND HAS BEGUN TO UNRAVEL. THE ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION, DISPLACED NORTH AND WEST OF THE LLCC, IS NOW MORE LINEAR,
SHALLOW AND FRAGMENTED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 030231Z ASCAT
PASS OVER THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 01W IS TO THE
SOUTH OF A RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE 25-30 KNOT VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR ADDITIONALLY, COOL DRY NORTHEASTERLY MONSOON AIR IS FEEDING INTO
THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. IN VIEW OF THESE PERSISTENT
UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION...(more)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 12-18 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 01W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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