Monday, April 04, 2011

TD 95W [AMANG] - Update #004

 


for Monday, 04 April 2011 [6:07 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday April 04 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 95W.


95W (AMANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95W [AMANG]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004

6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Mon 04 April 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression 95W (AMANG) has already left the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while moving NE'ly. Its circulation not quite good at the moment.

Residents and visitors along the Northern Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of 95W.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Mon Apr 04 2011
Location of Center: 13.0º N Lat 135.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 75 km (40 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 2: 470 km (255 nm) NW of Yap, FSM
Distance 3: 1,265 km (683 nm) East of Sorsogon City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: NW Pacific Ocean
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
JMA TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 PM PhT Mon Apr 04

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 12 hours)*

95W (AMANG) is expected to continue moving northeastward across the Easternmost Philippine Sea for the next 24 hours and intensify...reaching Tropical Storm strength [2PM APR 05: 15.1N 139.5E @ 65kph].

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. 95W (AMANG) is a Tropical Depression on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

95W's circulation remains over water (Philippine Sea) and is not affecting any land areas. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

OUTER / INNER RAINBANDS - remains over water and are not affecting any land areas. Light to moderate winds (<55 kph) w/ occasional rains can be expected along these bands today. (click here to know more about Rainbands).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


External Links for TD 95W (AMANG)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time

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RECENT JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY'S TRACKING CHART
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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
:

**NOT YET AVAILABLE**
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RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
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> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  

**NOT YET AVAILABLE**

> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
 


**NOT YET AVAILABLE**

> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 95W (AMANG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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