for Tuesday, 05 April 2011 [12:55 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday April 04 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 02W (AMANG).
02W (AMANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W [AMANG]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tue 05 April 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #001/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression 02W (AMANG) heading towards the northernmost Mariana Islands...expected to pass near Agrihan Island tomorrow morning.
Residents and visitors along the Northernmost Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of 02W.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Tue Apr 05 2011
Location of Exposed Center: 15.6º N Lat 140.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 525 km (284 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 560 km (303 nm) WNW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 3: 590 km (320 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 1955 km (1055 nm) East of Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 37 kph (20 kts)
Towards: Agrihan Island Area
ETA over Agrihan Area: 7AM CHST Tomorrow
24hr Total Rainfall (near center): 200 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM PhT Tue Apr 05
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*
02W (AMANG) is expected to continue accelerate ENE to NE-ward across the Northwest Pacific Ocean for the next 24 hours and intensify...reaching Tropical Storm strength later tonight. By tomorrow morning (Apr 06), 02W will become Extratropical while passing across the northernmost Marianas [8PM APR 05: 17.5N 142.4E @ 65kph...8AM APR 06: 18.6N 146.7E @ 75kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. 02W (AMANG) is a Tropical Depression on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
02W's circulation remains over water (NW Pacific Ocean) and is not affecting any land areas, however the system is expected to pass over the northernmost islands of the Marianas particularly Agrihan Island - where light to moderate rains can be expected later tonight or early tomorrow morning. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: 
OUTER / INNER RAINBANDS - remains over water, but will start to affect Agrihan & nearby islands of the Northernmost Marianas later tonight or early tomorrow morning. Light to moderate winds (<55 kph) w/ occasional rains can be expected along these bands. (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24-HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the northern outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 200 mm (heavy) north of the exposed center of 02W [click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic].
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs! _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
A new Tropical Disturbance 97W (LPA/1010 MB) has been spotted forming near the southern coast of Palawan or off the NNW coast of Sabah, Malaysia. This system is part of the remnants of 01W. The ill-defined center was located near lat 7.8N lon 116.3E...about 340 km SW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan or 425 km SE of Pagasa Island, Spratlys...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center. Its outer rainbands are affecting NW Sabah & the southern part of Palawan. The 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system is @ 50%. Click here to view current satellite image and flash animation.
External Links for TD 02W (AMANG)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0211.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) TUE 05 APRIL POSITION: 15.4N 139.1E.
*ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 041928Z 85GHZ SSMI REVEAL
THAT THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND HAS YET
TO BECOME ABSORBED INTO A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY NORTH OF THE
MARIANAS. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW) PRODUCTS CONFIRM THAT TD
02W HAS REMAINED FULLY ENSCONCED IN THE TROPICAL AIR MASS AND ANI-
MATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION OVER THE
CORE OF THE SYSTEM...(more)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM'S JTWC TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 02W (AMANG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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