for Tuesday, 17 March 2015 [7:32 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM BAVI (BETTY) UPDATE NUMBER 001
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday 17 March 2015
Next Update: Wednesday Morning, 18 March 2015
Tropical Storm BAVI is now entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...locally named "BETTY." This cyclone continues to lose strength as it moves across the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea...and is forecast to dissipate into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) {aka. Tropical Disturbance) on Thursday (March 19).
Residents and visitors along the Eastern Luzon incl. Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of Bavi (Betty).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.
None for the next 48 hours.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Mar 17...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Bavi (Betty)
Location: Over the eastermost part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.4N 136.5E)
About: 1,170 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,385 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 25 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 200 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 15 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest to West @ 17 kph
Towards: Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Bavi (Betty) is expected to continue moving west-northwest during the next 24 hours, with a turn to the west on the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, Bavi (Betty) will be tracking across the Eastern and Central part of the Philippine Sea through Thursday afternoon (Mar 19).
TS Bavi (Betty) will weaken within the next 24 hours and will continue to lose strength throughout the forecast period...becoming just a Tropical Depression on Wednesday morning...dissipating into an area of low pressure at the end of the forecast outlook. This is due to the unfavorable atmosphere over the Philippine Sea and the not-so-warm sea-surface temperatures. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph on Thursday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Downgraded to a weak Tropical Depression as it tracks due west across the central part of the Philippine Sea...about 840 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 18: 16.0N 131.7E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into an area of Low Pressure as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 555 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 19: 15.9N 128.9E @ 35kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay, north of Bicol Region...weakens further into a shallow Low Pressure...about 240 km north-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 20: 15.4N 125.5E @ 30kph].
*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.
Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Mar 17, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.4º N Lat 135.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 1240 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 2: 1285 km ENE of Metro Naga
Distance 3: 1310 km ENE of Daet, CamNorte
Distance 4: 1430 km ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 5: 1435 km ESE of Baler, Aurora
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS BAVI (BETTY)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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