Saturday, June 25, 2011

TS HAIMA [EGAY] - Final Update

 


for Saturday, 25 June 2011 [10:50 AM PhT]


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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday June 23 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 3:00 AM) on TS HAIMA (EGAY).


HAIMA (EGAY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


TROPICAL STORM HAIMA [EGAY/06W/1104]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 027 **FINAL**

8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Sat 25 June 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
HAIMA (EGAY) downgraded to a Tropical Depression as it moves across Northern Vietnam and into Laos. This system will continue to dump moderate to heavy rains along these areas.

*This is the Final Advisory on this long-lived system.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 8:00 AM PhT Sat June 25 2011
Location of Center: 20.0º N Lat 105.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 140 km (75 nm) SW of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: WSW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Laos
24hr Rainfall Accum (SW of center): 400 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): >35 mm/hr (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 992 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Small/Avg
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): .. ft (... m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
JMA TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM HKT Sat June 25

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*

HAIMA (EGAY) is expected to dissipate as it moves across Laos within the next 12-24 hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. HAIMA (EGAY) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale.

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

HAIMA's (EGAY) circulation remains compact as it moves into Northern Vietnam & Laos. Below are the summary of the depression's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

RAINBANDS - spreading & affecting Northern Vietnam & Laos. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 400 mm (high) south and southwest from the center of HAIMA (EGAY). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 AM (18 GMT) SAT 25 JUNE POSITION: 20.1N 105.1E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (HAIMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM
SOUTHWEST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TD 06W HAS
BEGUN STEADY DISSIPATION AFTER MAKING LANDFALL IN NORTHERN VIETNAM.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INLAND AND THE ASSOCIATED MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED WILL DROP BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD
INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THEREFORE, THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION..
.(
more)

>> HAIMA, meaning: A sea horseName contributed by: China.
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RECENT JMA TRACKING CHART
:

 
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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


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RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg 
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  


> Image source:  Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
:  



> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
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NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS HAIMA (EGAY)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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