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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday August 26 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, SMS, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NANMADOL (MINA).
NANMADOL (MINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM NANMADOL [MINA/14W/1111]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 023
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Tue 30 August 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #029/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm NANMADOL (MINA) stalled over Taiwan Strait...likely to weaken as Tropical Storm Conditions continuing across the coastal areas of Southeastern China & Western Taiwan.
This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoonal Flow across Western Luzon (from Zambales up to Ilocos Norte), bringing passing occasional rains w/ gusty winds.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan & Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of NANMADOL (MINA).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION 2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS* NANMADOL's (MINA) CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)* EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 50 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Tue August 30 2011
Location of Center: 23.6º N Lat 118.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 123 km NW of Xiamen, China
Distance 2: 189 km NW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 3: 215 km ENE of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 282 km SSW of Fuzhou, China
Distance 5: 288 km WSW of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 6: 324 km WSW of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 7: 470 km NW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 8: 629 km NNW of Laoag City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (65 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 05 kph (03 kts)
Towards: Fujian Province, China
CPA [ETA] to Fujian: Tue-Wed [12PM-5AM HKT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 330 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 25-30 mm/hr (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 665 km [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0-3 ft [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2:00 AM HKT Tue Aug 30
NANMADOL (MINA) is expected to move NW to WNW during the next 24 to 36 hours as it approaches the coast of Fujian Province, China. On the forecast track, the center of the storm will make landfall over Fujian Province near Xiamen City later tonight or Wednesday. NANMADOL will weaken further prior in making landfall, and rapidly dissipate as it moves over Southeastern China. Below is the summary of the 2-day forecast for this system.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly as it approaches the coast of Fujian Province...about 49 km SSE of Xiamen City, China [2PM AUG 30: 24.1N 118.3E @ 85kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Makes landfall over Fujian Province...barely a TS...about 42 km WSW of Xiamen City [2AM AUG 31: 24.4N 117.7E @ 65kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating over land...downgraded to a Tropical Depression (TD) while moving slowly across Fujian Province...about 133 km West of Xiamen City [2PM AUG 31: 24.7N 116.8E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipated...just an area of low pressure off Southeastern China...about 227 km WNW of Xiamen City, China [2AM SEP 01: 24.9N 115.9E @ 30kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 95 km/hr (50 knots) with higher gusts. NANMADOL is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Some weakening is expected before NANMADOL reaches the coast of Fujian Province tonight ro Wednesday, with rapid dissipation likely after it makes landfall.
Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 160 kilometers (85 nautical miles) from the center. NANMADOL is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 665 kilometers (360 nautical miles) across.
FUJIAN PROVINCE, CHINA: Landfalling near Xiamen City [ETA: between 12:00 PM Tuesday to 5:00 AM Wednesday].
*Please be reminded that the 2-Day Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
NANMADOL's (MINA) circulation breaking down while remaining almost stationary over the Taiwan Strait. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
INNER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Taiwan Strait, Western Taiwan & Fujian Province. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across The rest of Taiwan, Batanes Group of Islands and Southeastern China. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 210 to 330 mm (high) along areas near the center (eyewall) of NANMADOL (MINA). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS* NANMADOL's (MINA) CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)*
NANMADOL's (MINA) CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH (CPA)*
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 50 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains, squalls or thunderstorms will continue to prevail across the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON (from Ilocos Norte down to Zambales). Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 50 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 AM (21 GMT) TUE 30 AUGUST POSITION: 23.6N 118.9E.
*TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NANMADOL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-
DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 29/1729Z AMSR-E 89
GHZ IMAGE SHOWS CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE
AFOREMENTIONED IR IMAGERY AND RECENT RADAR DATA WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM 35 TO 55 KNOTS. TS 14W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL
BETWEEN TAUS 12 AND 24 AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 48. MODEL GUIDANCE
IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AND SUPPORTS THIS FORECAST...(more info)
>> NANMADOL, meaning: A famous Pohnpei ruin; the "Venice of the Pacific".
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TS NANMADOL (MINA)...go visit our website @:
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