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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wednesday August 10 2011):
Now issuing 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 13W (UNNAMED).
13W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Wed 10 August 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #001/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
The Tropical Disturbance (LPA) tagged as "92W" has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 13W (UNNAMED)...accelerating northward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean, located outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
Sailors and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the progress of 13W (UNNAMED)
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Wed August 10 2011
Location of Center: 24.1º N Lat 136.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 472 km WSW of Iwo To, Japan
Distance 2: 508 km WSW of Bonin Island
Distance 3: 933 km ESE of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 24 kph (13 kts)
Towards: Sea South of Japan
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 9:00 AM JST Wed Aug 10
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 2 days)* EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 days)*
13W is expected to remain a Tropical Depression (TD) with a little increase in strength during the next 12 to 24 hours. The track of this TD will remain northward for the next 12 hours and shall start recurving towards the NE across the open sea, south of Honshu, Japan through 48 hours. Below is the summary of the 2-day forecast for this system.
THIS EVENING (WED): Intensifying slightly while maintaining its northerly movement...about 463 km WSW of Bonin Island [8PM AUG 10: 25.5N 136.5E @ 55kph].
TOMORROW MORNING (THU): Start recurving NNE across the open sea...about 397 WNW of Bonin Island [8AM AUG 11: 27.3N 137.1E @ 55kph].
TOMORROW EVENING (THU): Maintains its strength as it moves NE-ward...about 356 km NW of Bonin Island 8PM AUG 11: 28.4N 138.1E @ 55kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Weakens slightly as it maintains its NE track...about 368 km NNW of Bonin Island [8AM AUG 12: 29.3N 139.0E @ 45kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 13W is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. This system will slightly intensify but not reaching Tropical Storm (TS) strength.
SATURDAY MORNING: Dissipating over water...weakens into an area of low pressure [8AM AUG 13: 30.9N 141.1E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 days)*
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
13W's (UNNAMED) circulation has consolidated over the past 12 to 24 hours, thus upgrading it into a weak depression. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
RAINBANDS - over water (Western Pacific Ocean)...not affecting any islands or land areas. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) WED 10 AUGUST POSITION: 23.7N 136.8E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWLY CONSOLIDATED
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND
DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (NOW 10-20 KNOTS). BASED ON
IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE
AND WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO
THE CENTER, THE SYSTEM IS NOW ASSESSED AT 25
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
**NOT YET AVAILABLE
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
**NOT YET AVAILABLE
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TD 13W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
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