for Saturday, 03 September 2011 [6:35 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday August 25 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TALAS (15W).
TALAS (15W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM TALAS [15W/1112]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 028
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Sat 03 September 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/RSMC-JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm TALAS (15W) starting to cross Western Honshu...will exit out into the Sea of Japan later tonight or early tomorrow morning.
Residents and visitors along Japan should closely monitor the progress of TALAS.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat September 03 2011
Location of Center: 34.5º N Lat 133.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 22 km South of Okayama, Japan
Distance 2: 117 km NNE of Kochi, Japan
Distance 3: 124 km WNW of Wakayama, Japan
Distance 4: 129 km East of Hiroshima, Japan
Distance 5: 164 km NW of Tanabe, Japan
Distance 6: 195 km WSW of Kyoto, Japan
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 100 kph (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: Western Honshu
24hr Rainfall Accum (East of center): 210 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 25-30 mm/hr (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 988 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 1,205 km [Very Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): XX ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m]
RSMC-JMA TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM JST Sat Sep 03
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
TALAS (15W) is expected to accelerate toward the North during the next 24 hours, with a slight turn towards the NNE through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of the storm will move across Western Honshu through the night...and move out into the Sea of Japan early tomorrow morning. TALAS will be moving into the central part of the Sea of Japan Sunday afternoon...and over Eastern Russia Monday afternoon. Below is the summary of the 2-day forecast for this system. 
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Moving North across the Sea of Japan...about 478 km North of Okayama, Japan [5PM SEP 04: 39.0N 133.8E @ 95kph]. MONDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes an Extratropical Cyclone while moving into Eastern Russia [2PM SEP 05: 45.1N 135.7E @ --kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) remain near 100 km/hr (55 knots) with higher gusts. TALAS is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. TALAS will weaken upon crossing Western Honshu later tonight.
Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 220 kilometers (120 nautical miles) from the center. TALAS remains a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 1,205 kilometers (650 nautical miles).
*Please be reminded that the 2-Day Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
TALAS' (15W) large radial circulation remains fragmented as it crosses Western Honshu. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: LARGE EYE-LIKE CENTER - Over Western Honshu, Japan. Possible calm and lull conditions (with <20 kph winds) will be expected inside the eye (click here to know more about the EYE). FRAGMENTED INNER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Shikoku, Eastern Kyushu & Western Honshu. Tropical Storm to Near-Typhoon Conditions w/ Tropical Storm to Near-Typhoon Force Winds (62-117 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across the whole of Japan & the Sea of Japan except Northern Honshu. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 105 to 210 mm (high) along areas near the center of TALAS (15W). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 PM (06 GMT) SAT 03 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 34.2N 133.8E.
*TROPICAL STORM 15W (TALAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF
IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND RADAR FROM
JAPAN SHOW A WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CURRENTLY
TRACKING OVER SHIKOKU. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI AND
A 03/06Z RADAR FIX FROM JAPAN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON
03/06Z OBSERVATIONS FROM RJOP AND RJOT STATIONS NEAR THE CENTER
REPORTING 987 MB. TS 15W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD
ACROSS HONSHU ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
STEERING RIDGE. A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY TO THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE AND ALLOW TS 15W TO TURN
NORTHEASTWARD. TS 15W SHOULD BEGIN INTERACTING WITH THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE AFTER ENTERING THE SEA OF JAPAN (SOJ) AND FULLY TRANSITION INTO
AN EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW BY TAU 36. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING
DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AS WELL AS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
LOW SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE SOJ. THIS FORECAST FAVORS A
STRONGER RECURVATURE SCENARIO INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES THAN
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE PREDICTING...more info)
>> TALAS, meaning: Sharpness; Acuteness. Name contributed by: Philippines.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT RSMC-JMA TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART: 
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS TALAS (15W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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