for Monday, 05 September 2011 [5:15 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday September 03 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NORU (16W).
NORU (16W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORU [16W/1113]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Mon 05 September 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #009/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression NORU (16W) continues to move swiftly northward across the far Western Pacific.
Sailors and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the progress of NORU (16W).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon September 05 2011
Location of Center: 35.8º N Lat 150.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 854 km ESE of Sendai, Japan
Distance 2: 929 km ENE of Tokyo, Japan
Distance 3: 1,112 km South of Kuril Islands
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 28 kph (15 kts)
Towards: Kuril Islands
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 205 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 20-25 mm/hr (Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 775 km [Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 22 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 3:00 PM JST Mon Sep 05
36-HOUR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
NORU (16W) is expected to maintain a straight Northerly track during the next 24 to 36 hours...On the forecast track, the center of NORU shall be approaching the Kuril Islands early Wednesday as an Extratropical Cyclone.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. NORU is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 24 to 36 hours.
The following is the summary of the 36-hour forecast outlook on this system:
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintaining its strength and motion across the Western Pacific Ocean...about 807 km ESE of Sendai, Japan [2AM SEP 06: 37.8N 150.1E @ 55kph]. TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Becoming Extratropical as it accelerates toward the Kuril Islands...about 567 km South of Kuril Islands [2PM SEP 06: 40.9N 150.2E @ 45kph]. WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes an Extratropical Cyclone as it approaches the Kuril Islands...about 167 km South of Kuril Islands [2AM SEP 07: 44.7N 150.6E @ 45kph].
*Please be reminded that the 2-Day Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
NORU's (16W) circulation has become exposed w/ less clouds near the center...rich convective clouds along its periphery. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: RAINBANDS - over water (Western Pacific Ocean)...not affecting any islands or major land areas. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 105 to 205 mm (high) along areas near the center of NORU. (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 PM (06 GMT) MON 05 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 35.1N 150.0E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS A WELL DEFINED, FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A 050035Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
ELONGATED LLCC WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE OUTER PERIPHERY.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE ASCAT PASS. A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) REMAINS ALOFT PREVENTING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. TD 16W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE
EAST AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, TD 16W SHOULD BEGIN
INTERACTING WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION (ETT) BY TAU 36. DUE TO DECREASING SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AND THE TUTT ALOFT, TD 16W WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND
POSSIBLY WEAKEN BELOW 25 KNOTS PRIOR TO ETT. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK NORTHWARD. THEREFORE,
THIS FORECAST IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MODEL CONSENSUS...(more info)
>> NORU, meaning: Roe Deer. Name contributed by: RO Korea.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART: 
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD NORU (16W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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