for Sunday, 31 July 2011 [7:45 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday July 28 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NOCK-TEN (JUANING).
NOCK-TEN (JUANING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM NOCK-TEN [JUANING/10W/1108]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Sun 31 July 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JMA TC Warning/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm NOCK-TEN (JUANING) moving across Laos...dissipating over land.
*This is the last and final advisory on NOCK-TEN. .
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun July 31 2011
Location of Center: 19.0º N Lat 103.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 160 km NE of Vientiane, Laos
Distance 2: 310 km SW of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 3: 525 km West of Dongfang, Hanoi Is.
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 19 kph (10 kts)
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 120 mm (Med-High)
Rainrate (near center): >30 mm/hr (VHeavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 465 km (250 nm) / Average
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): XX ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft
JMA TrackMap (for Public): 5:00 AM HKT Sun July 31
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 1 day)*
NOCK-TEN (JUANING) is expected to continue moving West to WSW across Laos and into Northern Thailand. It will dissipate over Northern Thailand early tomorrow. Below is the summary of the 2-day forecast for this system.
THIS AFTERNOON (SUN): Dissipating along the Laos-Thailand Border...just a tropical depression...about 185 km NW of Vientiane, Laos [5PM JUL 31: 19.0N 101.2E @ 55kph].
TOMORROW EARLY MORNING (MON): Dissipated as a remnant low off Northwestern Thailand...about 440 km WNW of Vientiane, Laos [5AM AUG 01: 19.1N 98.6E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) are near 65 km/hr (35 knots) with higher gusts. NOCK-TEN (JUANING) is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. NOCK-TEN is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 465 kilometers (250 nautical miles) across.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
NOCK-TEN's (JUANING) circulation dissipating over Laos. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
DISSIPATING RAINBANDS - spreading & affecting Northern Thailand, Laos & Northern Vietnam . Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 50 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 120 mm (medium-high) near the center of NOCK-TEN (JUANING). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 PM (12 GMT) SAT 30 JULY POSITION: 19.1N 105.5E.
>> NOCK-TEN, meaning: Bird. Name contributed by: Laos.
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 12-18HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TS NOCK-TEN (JUANING)...go visit our website @:
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