for Friday, 22 July 2011 [12:45 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Friday July 19 2011):
Ending the 6-hrly web, twitter and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on MA-ON (INENG).
MA-ON (INENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) MA-ON [INENG/08W/1106]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 029 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Fri 22 July 2011
Source: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Final Warning #043/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
MA-ON (INENG) has weakened into a Tropical Disturbance or an area of Low Pressure while over the NW Pacific Ocean...accelerated towards the East.
*This is the Final Advisory on this tropical cyclone..
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Fri July 22 2011
Location of Center: 29.0º N Lat 143.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 280 km (150 nm) NE of Chichi Jima
Distance 2: 385 km (208 nm) NE of Bonin Island
Distance 3: 525 km (283 nm) NNE of Iwo To
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 35 kph (20 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph (30 kts)
Present Movement: East @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: NW Pacific Ocean
24hr Rainfall Accum (South of center): 30 mm (Low-Med)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 1110 km (600 nm) / Very Large
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 9:00 AM JST Fri July 22
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 1 day)*
MA-ON (INENG) is expected move NE'ly within the next 12 to 24 hours. Below is the summary of the 1-day forecast for this system.
THIS EVENING (FRI): Moving NE-ward as it dissipates over water...about 335 km NE of Chichi Jima [8PM JUL 22: 29.5N 143.9E @ 35kph].
TOMORROW MORNING (SAT): Maintains its NE'ly track with its remnants remaining over water...about 535 km NNE of Chichi Jima [8AM JUL 23: 31.0N 145.1E @ 35kph].
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 35 km/hr (20 knots) with higher gusts. MA-ON (INENG) is just a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) dissipating over water. It remains a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 1,110 kilometers (600 nautical miles) across.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
MA-ON's (INENG) circulation remains elongated and sheared as it tracks Eastward across the open waters of the NW Pacific Ocean. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
DISSIPATING RAINBANDS - spreading & affecting Chichi Jima, Iwo To, & Bonin Islands. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 20 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 30 mm (low-med) near the center of MA-ON (INENG), especially along the southern portion. (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) FRI 22 JULY POSITION: 28.9N 142.7E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED BELOW TD
STRENGTH. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) INDICATES
THAT TD 08W HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WHICH IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
BROAD CIRCULATION OF ABOUT 260 NM DIAMETER, HAS ELONGATED AND BECOME
POORLY DEFINED WITH STRATOCUMULUS OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
ADDITIONALLY, THERE ARE MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS SPINNING UP WITHIN THE
BROAD CIRCULATION WHICH ARE FURTHER DISRUPTING 08W'S LLCC AND
MOTION, AND A WEAK FRONTAL ZONE JUST EAST AND SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.
THE ENVIRONMENT HAS REMAINED UNFAVORABLE WITH THE LLCC POSITIONED
UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND CONTINUED MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI IMAGERY WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED LOWER THAN THE 25-35
KNOT DVORAK ESTIMATES BASED ON THE POORLY-DEFINED LLCC. THE REMNANTS
OF TD 08W WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.// (more info)
>> MA-ON, meaning: Horse saddle (name of a peak). Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TD MA-ON (INENG)...go visit our website @:
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