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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday Oct 17 2010):
Currently issuing 3-hrly web, SMS & email advisories on MEGI (JUAN). The T2K HOURLY POSITION ESTIMATE (NOWCASTING) will begin once the system is less than 200 km away from land. A dry-run of the hourly nowcasting has already begun this afternoon on our mainpage.
MEGI (JUAN) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 225 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 200 km/hr
SUPER TYPHOON MEGI [JUAN/15W/1013]
T2K INTERMEDIATE E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 014A
9:00 PM PhT (13:00 GMT) Sun 17 October 2010
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Wrng #018/SatFix/Recon
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
Super Typhoon MEGI (JUAN) remains a Category 5 howler...but still continues to intensify...now with 1-min. sustained winds of 285 km/hr (155 kts).
*MEGI is now comparable to Super Typhoon ANGELA (ROSING) of November 2-3, 1995, which battered Bicol & Southern Luzon including Metro Manila...and is considered one of the worst typhoons in Philippine History.
Residents and visitors along Northern and Central Luzon particularly Cagayan and Isabela should closely monitor the progress of MEGI (JUAN).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 9:00 PM PhT Sun Oct 17 2010
Location of Eye: 18.1º N Lat 124.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 340 km (185 nm) East of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 345 km (187 nm) ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 3: 345 km (187 nm) ENE of Ilagan, Isabela
Distance 4: 365 km (197 nm) ENE of Cauayan, Isabela
Distance 5: 365 km (197 nm) NE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 6: 455 km (245 nm) East of Laoag City
Distance 7: 480 km (260 nm) ENE of Vigan City
Distance 8: 495 km (268 nm) NE of Baguio City
Distance 9: 560 km (302 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 285 kph (155 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 340 kph (185 kts)
Present Movement: WSW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: Cagayan-Isabela Area
24-hr Rain Amounts (near center): 470 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 895 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Size (in Diameter): 905 km (490 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 33 ft (10.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: >18 ft [>5.5 m]
T2K TrackMap #006 (for Public): 6 PM PhT Sun Oct 17 ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT TYPHOON2000 TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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