for Friday, 10 September 2010 [11:35 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri September 10 2010):
Ending the 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS MERANTI (11W) as the system dissipates over China.
MERANTI (11W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 70 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 105 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Vietnam (NCHMF/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM MERANTI [11W/1010]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 007 **FINAL**
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Fri 10 September 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #09/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
MERANTI (11W) has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm as it moves further inland across the Fujian Province of China. Tropical Storm Conditions will continue to prevail across the area today.
Due to the expected dissipation of this system within 24 hours, this will be the last and final advisory on MERANTI. Refer to your official local weather centers for continued updates.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 24 hours)*
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Fri Sep 10 2010
Location of Center: 26.1º N Lat 118.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 90 km (48 nm) West of Fuzhou, China
Distance 2: 180 km (97 nm) NNE of Xiamen, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (65 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Towards: Fujian-Zhejiang Area
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 110 mm (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Size (in Diameter): 275 km (150 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: N/A [Overland]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Fri Sep 10
MERANTI will continue moving northward overland, across the rugged terrain of Fujian Province today and gradually weaken further. It will be downgraded into a depression late tonight and will eventually dissipate completely by tomorrow morning, while over Zhejiang Province [8PM SEP 10: 28.3N 118.8E @ 65kph...8AM SEP 11: 30.3N 119.4E @ 35kph].
Current Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 95 km/hr (50 kts) with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds extend outward up to 65 kilometers (35 nautical miles) from the center.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS
MERANTI's circulation now rapidly dissipating overland. Tropical Storm Conditions will continue to prevail throughout the morning across portions of Fujian Province. Improving weather expected tomorrow as its remnants moves north into Zhejiang Province. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 50 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along its rainbands or over some areas of Southeastern China...with isolated amounts of up to 110 mm (moderate) near the center of MERANTI or over Fujian Province. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TY MERANTI (11W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp1110.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (MERANTI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A RADAR LOOP FROM TAIWAN AND ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) INDICATE TS 11W MADE LANDFALL
NEAR QUANZHOU, CHINA AROUND 09/21Z. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
CURRENT POSITION AND PAST SIX HOUR MOTION BASED ON MSI. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE OVERALL WEAKENING CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE IN
A 092319Z AMSU MICROWAVE PASS AND IN THE TAIWAN RADAR LOOP. TS 11W
IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE STATIONED SOUTH OF JAPAN. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TRACKING POLEWARD AS IT RAPIDLY DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE NEAR TAU 24, DUE TO INTERACTION WITH RUGGED TERRAIN ALONG
THE EASTERN COAST OF CHINA. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE, THE SYSTEM MAY
TRACK NORTH OF SHANGHAI CHINA, AND REDEVELOP IN THE YELLOW SEA AS A
BAROCLINIC SYSTEM. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT;
THEREFORE THIS FORECAST IS CLOSE TO MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION...(more)
>> MERANTI, meaning: A kind of tree. Name contributed by: Malaysia.
RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS MERANTI (11W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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