Thursday, September 02, 2010

TS KOMPASU [GLENDA] - Update #13

 


for Thursday, 02 September 2010 [12:53 PM PhT]


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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon August 30 2010):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS KOMPASU (GLENDA).


KOMPASU (GLENDA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 90 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph

TROPICAL STORM KOMPASU [GLENDA/08W/1007]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013

12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Thu 02 September 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #18/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)

KOMPASU
(GLENDA) has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm after crossing the Korean Peninsula this morning...now moving quickly across the Sea of Japan. Weather conditions improving dramatically across the Korean Peninsula.

Residents and visitors along Hokkaido should closely monitor the progress of KOMPASU.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Thu Sep 02 2010
Location of Center: 39.5º N Lat 128.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 250 km (135 nm) NE of Seoul, South Korea
Distance 2: 500 km (270 nm) SW of Vladivostok, Russia
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 100 kph (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 kph (70 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 55 kph (30 kts)
Towards: Sea of Japan-Hokkaido Area
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 110 mm (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 390 km (210 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Thu Sep 02

ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 2 days)*

TY KOMPASU is now moving fast away from the Korean Peninsula...and into the Sea of Japan. It will become an Extratropical Cyclone by tomorrow morning [8AM SEP 03: 42.1N 135.7E @ 75kph]. KOMPASU will be over Southern Hokkaido, Japan tomorrow evening and over the Northwest Pacific Ocean on Saturday tomorrow morning [8AM SEP 04: 41.6N 146.8E @ 55kph].

Current Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 100 km/hr (55 kts) with higher gusts.


*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS

KOMPASU's circulation has started to turn into an Extratropical System. Weather conditions across most of Korea has quickly improved. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 110 mm (Moderate) along the northern and NW periphery of Kompasu. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


External Links for TS KOMPASU (GLENDA)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0710.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
                


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) THU 02 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 37.9N 127.0E.
*08W (KOMPASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
25 NM NORTH OF SEOUL, KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS.
TY 08W IS UNDER HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (50 KNOTS) AND
IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER ROUGH TERRAIN. THERE IS GOOD
CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON KMA RADAR
DATA. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES
OF 65 TO 77 KNOTS.
..(more)

>> KOMPASU, meaning: Circinus; a V-shaped device for describing circles or circular arcsName contributed by: Japan.

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RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART
:


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RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
:


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RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
 




> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
 
NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY KOMPASU (GLENDA)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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