for Thursday, 02 September 2010 [7:13 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon August 30 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS KOMPASU (GLENDA).
KOMPASU (GLENDA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 kph
TROPICAL STORM KOMPASU [GLENDA/08W/1007]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 014
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Thu 02 September 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #19/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
Tropical Storm KOMPASU (GLENDA) continued to its fast track towards the NE...starting to become Extratropical.
Residents and visitors along Hokkaido should closely monitor the progress of KOMPASU.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 36 hours)*
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu Sep 02 2010
Location of Center: 39.6º N Lat 130.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 375 km (202 nm) NE of Seoul, South Korea
Distance 2: 415 km (225 nm) SSW of Vladivostok, Russia
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind 5Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 45 kph (25 kts)
Towards: Sea of Japan-Hokkaido Area
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 70 mm (Light)
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 390 km (210 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Thu Sep 02
TS KOMPASU has started transitioning into an Extratropical Cyclone while moving quickly across the Sea of Japan. The storm will reach Extratropical status later tonight...will cross between Hokkaido and Honshu by tomorrow afternoon...and will be moving into the NW Pacific Ocean early Saturday morning [2AM SEP 03: 41.1N 134.3E @ 75kph...2PM SEP 03: 41.7N 139.4E @ 55kph...2AM SEP 04: 41.2N 145.3E @ 35kph].
Current Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 85 km/hr (45 kts) with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 km/hr) extend outward up to 160 kilometers (85 nautical miles) from the center, especially along the northeast and southeast quadrants.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS
KOMPASU's circulation has started to turn into an Extratropical System. Hazards and effects across land diminishing, with Tropical Storm Force Winds just along its outer bands or over the Sea of Japan. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 50 mm (light rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 70 mm (Light) along the northern and NW periphery of Kompasu. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TS KOMPASU (GLENDA)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0710.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KOMPASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTHEAST OF
SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE CYCLONE HAS WEAKENED FROM TYPHOON TO TROPICAL
STORM STATUS AND IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) IN THE
SEA OF JAPAN. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF HIGHLY SHEARED AND RAPIDLY DISSIPATING CONVECTION. THE
STORM WILL COMPLETE ETT IN THE SEA OF JAPAN PRIOR TO PASSING NORTH OF
MISAWA. THE MOST RECENT DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM PGTW SUPPORTS A
TRANSITIONING 50 KNOT CYCLONE. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN EXCELLENT
AGREEMENT...(more)
>> KOMPASU, meaning: Circinus; a V-shaped device for describing circles or circular arcs. Name contributed by: Japan.
RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY KOMPASU (GLENDA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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