for Tuesday, 07 September 2010 [12:39 PM PhT]
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri September 03 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS MALOU (HENRY).
MALOU (HENRY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 90 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM MALOU [HENRY/10W/1009]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 016
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tue 07 September 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #22/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
Tropical Storm MALOU (HENRY) has just passed over the island of Tsushima...on its way to the Sea of Japan...now becoming Extratropical.
Residents and visitors along the Korean Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of MALOU.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 48 hours)*
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Tue Sep 07 2010
Location of Center: 34.4º N Lat 129.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 85 km (45 nm) SSE of Busan, S.Korea
Distance 2: 135 km (73 nm) NNW of Sasebo, Japan
Distance 3: 275 km (150 nm) ENE of Cheju Island
Distance 4: 410 km (220 nm) SE of Seoul, S.Korea
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: Western Honshu
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 170 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 425 km (230 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1 feet [0.3 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Tue Sep 07
TS MALOU is expected to continue moving NE to ENE-ward across the Sea of Japan tonight and will move onshore in Western Honshu by tomorrow morning as an Extratropical system [8AM SEP 08: 35.5N 133.8E @ 55kph]. The system will gradually decay upon traversing Honshu, Japan tomorrow night and exit west of Tokyo on Thursday morning [8PM SEP 08: 35.9N 137.8E @ 45kph...8AM SEP 09: 36.5N 142.7E @ 35kph].
Current Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain near 75 km/hr (40 kts) with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 km/hr) extend outward up to 85 kilometers (45 nautical miles) from the center, especially along the East and SE quadrants.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS
MALOU's rain bands continues to spread across the southern and eastern portions of South Korea, Busan City, Western Kyushu, and Sasebo City. Tropical Storm Conditions affecting Tsushima Island and along the Strait of Korea. These conditions will also reach the NW shores of Honshu later tonight. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 50 mm (light rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 170 mm (Heavy) near the center of MALOU, particularly along the Busan City area. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: WEAK >> Mostly cloudy skies with scattered to widespread rains and thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: REST OF LUZON particularly EXTREME NORTHERN PROVINCES OF LUZON. Light SSW or SW winds (not in excess of 30 kph) can be expected along these areas.
Strong Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA/1004 MB) drifting WSW slowly while near the east coast of Taiwan, with rain-cloud convection located SW of its center. Currently located near lat 22.4N lon 123.4E...or about 255 km NE of Basco, Batanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph near the center. Moderate to heavy rains affecting the smaller islands of Extreme Northern Luzon (Batanes, Itbayat, Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands). The 24 to 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system is now at 70%. Click here to view current satellite visible image and flash animation.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TS MALOU (HENRY)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp1010.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MALOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM
NORTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
ELONGATION OF THE MAIN CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT DUE TO
STRONG WESTERLIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY FROM KYUSHU,
JAPAN, AND A 062332Z 1-KM RESOLUTION VISIBLE IMAGE SHOWING A BROAD
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 35 TO 50 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD AND
IS SUPPORTED BY NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TS 10W IS NOW POLEWARD
OF THE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED WEST-EAST JUST TO THE
SOUTH...(more)
>> MALOU, meaning: Agate. Name contributed by: Macao, China.
RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS MALOU (HENRY)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2010 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
No comments:
Post a Comment