for Wednesday, 01 September 2010 [8:14 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue August 31 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS NAMTHEUN.
NAMTHEUN (09W/1008) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NAMTHEUN [09W/1008]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wed 01 September 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #07/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
NAMTHEUN (09W) downgraded into a Depression while off the coast of Fujian Province. Its circulation being absorbed into the northern rainbands of LIONROCK.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 36 hours)*
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed Sep 01 2010
Location of Center: 24.8º N Lat 119.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 95 km (50 nm) ENE of Xiamen, China
Distance 2: 145 km (78 nm) SSW of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 265 km (143 nm) WSW of Taipei, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: WSW @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: Taiwan Strait
6-hr Rain Amounts (East of the center): 60 mm (Light)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 185 km (100 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Wed Sep 01
Remnants of NAMTHEUN is expected to track WSW throughout the forecast period and dissipate over Southeastern China. [2AM SEP 02: 24.7N 118.0E @ 35kph...2PM SEP 02: 24.5N 117.5E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS
NAMTHEUN's dissipating small circulation will continue to dump light to moderate rains across Southeastern China and portions of Northern Taiwan today. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 20 mm (light rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 60 mm (light) along its eastern rainbands located off Northern Taiwan. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TD NAMTHEUN (09W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0910.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A 311800Z SATELLITE FIX FROM RJTD. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF
30 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH A NEARBY 311800Z SHIP REPORT AND A DVORAK
T-NUMBER OF 2.0 FROM RJTD. TD 09W IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EAST-NORTHEASTERLY LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING
FLOW ANALYZED OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA AND DIRECT CYCLONE INTER-
ACTION WITH TS 07W. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BELOW THE WARNING
THRESHOLD INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS AFTER TAU 24 AS IT PASSES OVER LAND.
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF THIS DEPRESSION IS STILL EXPECTED TO
MERGE WITH THE CIRCULATION OF TS 07W AROUND TAU 36...(more)
>> NAMTHEUN, meaning: River, which is one of the tributaries of Mekong River. Name contributed by: Lao PDR.
RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD NAMTHEUN (09W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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