for Tuesday, 10 May 2011 [12:45 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tuesday May 10 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TS AERE (BEBENG).
AERE (BEBENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 70 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM AERE [BEBENG/03W/1101]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tue 10 May 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #016/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm AERE (BEBENG) still to the east of Batanes as it weakened slightly and slows its NNE track.
Residents and visitors along Ishigaki, Okinawa & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of AERE (BEBENG).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 48 hours)* EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 days)* EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY CURRENT ENHANCED SW WINDFLOW INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Partly sunny to cloudy with scattered to widespread showers, rains & thunderstorms will be expected along these following affected areas: LUZON incl. METRO MANILA, BICOL REGION, MINDORO, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, ROMBLON, AND THE CALAMIAN GROUP OF ISLANDS. Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) will also be expected within this windflow.
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Tue May 10 2011
Location of Center: 20.6º N Lat 122.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 95 km (50 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 115 km (62 nm) ESE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 205 km (110 nm) NE of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 250 km (135 nm) NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 455 km (245 nm) SSW of Ishigaki Is.
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: NNE @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Okinawa-Ryukyus Area
CPA over Okinawa: 3PM-10PM Tue
24hr Total Rainfall (near center): 120 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Small/Avg
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0-3 ft [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM PhT Tue May 10
AERE (BEBENG) is expected to maintain its strength and accelerate NE-ward for the next 2 days - leaving the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning, May 11, and shall pass over or very close to Okinawa Island between 5-9 PM tomorrow Japan Time [8PM MAY 10: 22.5N 123.3E @ 65kph...8AM MAY 11: 24.6N 125.3E @ 65kph]...8PM MAY 11: 26.9N 128.5E @ 65kph...8AM MAY 12: 29.5N 132.7E @ 55kph.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 65 km/hr (35 knots) with higher gusts. AERE (BEBENG) is a Minimal Tropical Storm on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. AERE is a small tropical cyclone with a diameter of 335 kilometers (180 nautical miles). 
FRIDAY MORNING: Becomes Extratropical while zooming past to the south of Honshu, Japan...about 395 km ESE of Tokyo, Japan. [8AM MAY 13: 34.5N 143.8E @ 55kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
AERE's circulation has become somewhat disorganized as it moves NNE toward Okinawa Area. Below are the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas: CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) - reforming over water, east of Batanes. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (62-85 kph) will be expected along the CDO.(click here to know more about CDO). INNER RAINBANDS - slightly affecting Batanes Group of Islands. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - still spreading across portions of Northern Luzon - where light to moderate winds (<30 kph) will be expected along these bands. (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 75 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 120 mm (heavy) near the center of AERE. [click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic].
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
PAGASA Philippine Storm Warnings Signals
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) 
In Effect: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 & 2 are alerted against possible flashfloods, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves).
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) TUE 10 MAY POSITION: 20.3N 121.9E.
*TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH A LARGE BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MSI ALSO SHOWS TIGHTLY-CURVED LOW-LEVEL
CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER SUPPORTING THE CURRENT
INTENSITY ASSESSMENT OF 35 KNOTS ALONG WITH DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM 30-35 KNOTS. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
CURRENT POSITION. TS AERE IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED UNDER AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WHICH IS SUPPRESSING CONVECTION OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS
FUELING LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE...(more)
>> AERE, meaning: A storm. Name contributed by: United States of America.
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RECENT JTWC / WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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LATEST 24HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS AERE (BEBENG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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