Monday, May 30, 2011

TS SONGDA [CHEDENG] - Final Update

 


for Monday, 30 May 2011 [6:41 AM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday May 29 2011):

Ending the 6-hrly web, twitter, SMS and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TD SONGDA (CHEDENG) as the system loses tropical characteristics.


SONGDA (CHEDENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE SONGDA [CHEDENG/04W/1102]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 032 **FINAL**

5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Mon 30 May 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #038/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm SONGDA (CHEDENG) loses tropical characteristics, becomes an Extratropical Cyclone...passing off the Southern Coast of Honshu.

*This is the Final Advisory on this year's 2nd Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon May 30 2011
Location of Center: 34.1º N Lat 138.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 160 km (85 nm) SE of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 2: 225 km (123 nm) SSE of Osaka, Japan
Distance 3: 235 km (127 nm) SW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 47 kph (26 kts)
Towards: S. Coast of Honshu
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 50 mm (Medium)
Rainrate (near center): 20 mm/hr (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: XT
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft (-.- m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 9:00 PM JST Sun May 29

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 12 hours)*

SONGDA (CHEDENG), as an XT Cyclone, will continue to accelerate NE to ENE-ward across the cooler waters of the North Pacific Ocean.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts.

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

SONGDA's circulation continues to decay as observed on satellite imageries. Below are the summary of the typhoon's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

INNER RAINBANDS - N/A . Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (65-117 kph) can be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - spreading across Honshu. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 30 mm (low rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 50 mm (medium) to the northeast of the center of SONGDA. (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH

Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA/1008 MB) slowly developing off the South China Sea, west of Mindoro. Its possible center was located near lat 13.2N lon 117.2E...about 435 km WSW of Manila, PH...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center...almost stationary. The 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system is @ 40%. View the latest satellite flash loop on this disturbance.

CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy with possible occasional rains w/ squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES including METRO MANILA & SUBIC BAY. Light to moderate SW to Westerly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 PM (12 GMT) SUN 29 MAY POSITION: 34.4N 136.6E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W, SONGDA, MAINTAINED A NORTHEASTERLY COURSE
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, TRACKING OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF WAKAYAMA
PREFECTURE. THE OVER-LAND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM HAS RESULTED IN RAPID
WEAKENING. TD 04W HAS NEARLY COMPLETED EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (XTT)
AND HAS DEVELOPED BOTH WARM AND COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARIES. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM MIE PREFECTURE AND
ISE WAN. CHUBU CENTRAIR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (RJGG), UPSTREAM OF THE |
LLCC, REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND GUSTS
UP TO 40 KNOTS AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHED. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
AN OVER-WATER TRACK WHILE COMPLETING XTT DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE RESUMPTION OF AN OVER-WATER TRACK WILL HELP MAINTAIN SYSTEM
INTENSITY UNTIL IT DEVELOPS INTO A GALE FORCE LOW EAST OF THE CHIBA
PENINSULA. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//.
.(
more)

>> SONGDA, meaning: A river in northwestern Viet NamName contributed by:Viet Nam.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
:

 
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg 
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  


> Image source:  Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
:  



> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
 
NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on XT SONGDA (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2011 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

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Sunday, May 29, 2011

TS SONGDA [CHEDENG] - Update #031

 


for Sunday, 29 May 2011 [7:00 PM PhT]

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<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*Only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.

Click here on how to use this service (in PDF file)
Powered by: Synermaxx Corporation
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday May 29 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter, SMS and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TS SONGDA (CHEDENG).


SONGDA (CHEDENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


TROPICAL STORM SONGDA [CHEDENG/04W/1102]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 031

6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Sun 29 May 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #037/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm SONGDA (CHEDENG) nears Extratropical Cyclone status as it moves across Southwestern Honshu.

Residents and visitors along the Honshu in Japan should closely monitor the progress of SONGDA (CHEDENG).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Sun May 29 2011
Location of Center: 33.8º N Lat 135.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 190 km (102 nm) SW of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 2: 195 km (105 nm) ENE of Kochi, Japan
Distance 3: 280 km (150 nm) SW of Osaka, Japan
Distance 4: 420 km (227 nm) WSW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (65 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 56 kph (31 kts)
Towards: Southern Honshu
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 50 mm (Medium)
Rainrate (near center): 50-80 mm/hr (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 26 ft (7.9 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0-3 ft [0.0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 3:00 PM JST Sun May 29

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*

SONGDA (CHEDENG) is forecast to continue losing its tropical characteristics as it passes along Southern Japan within the next 12 to 24 hours and will become Extratropical as it moves out into the cooler waters of the North Pacific Ocean.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 95 km/hr (50 knots) with higher gusts. SONGDA (CHEDENG) is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 230 kilometers (125 nautical miles) from the center. SONGDA is a large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 775 kilometers (420 nautical miles).

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

SONGDA's circulation continues to decay as observed on satellite imageries. Below are the summary of the typhoon's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

INNER RAINBANDS - off SW Honshu, Japan. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (65-117 kph) can be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - spreading across Rest of Honshu and Shikoku, Japan. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 30 mm (low rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 50 mm (medium) to the northeast of the center of SONGDA. (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy with possible occasional rains w/ squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES including METRO MANILA & SUBIC BAY. Light to moderate SW to Westerly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 2 PM (06 GMT) SUN 29 MAY POSITION: 32.8N 134.2E.
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WELL ALONG IN THE PROCESS OF EXTRA-
TROPICAL TRANSITION (XTT). THE POSITION CONFIDENCE IS HIGH DUE TO
THE FULLY EXPOSED LLCC, GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN AGENCY AND AUTOMATED
FIXES, AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVELS OF
THE STORM HAVE COMPLETELY SHEARED FROM THE LLCC, SURFACE REPORTS
FROM WAKAYAMA AIRPORT COUPLED WITH A 290004Z SSMIS PASS CONFIRM THAT
THE BOUNDARY LAYERS OF THE STORM REMAIN WELL ORGANIZED AND VIGOROUS.
THE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS IS BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS AND
DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, RJTD, AND KNES. COMPUTER MODELS ARE
STILL STRUGGLING WITH THE INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TROPICAL SYSTEM,
THE BAIU BOUNDARY, AND A HIGH AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING
OVER WESTERN JAPAN. SOME VORTEX TRACKERS CONTINUE TO PULL THE LLCC
INLAND IN THE DIRECTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS, BUT MORE
MODELS, INCLUDING ECMWF AND NOGAPS, ARE BEGINNING TO RESOLVE THE
INTERACTION AND KEEP THE LLCC TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. THE JTWC
FORECAST REMAINS TO THE RIGHT OF, AND FASTER THAN, CONSENSUS. TS 04W
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF WAKAYAMA
PREFECTURE AND THEN MOVE BACK OUT TO SEA, PASSING SOUTH OF BOTH
SHIMODA AND THE CHIBA PENINSULA. THE VIGOROUS UPPER LEVELS COUPLED
WITH THE BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY WILL KEEP TS 04W AT GALE FORCE THROUGH
THE ENTIRE XTT PROCESS..
.(
more)

>> SONGDA, meaning: A river in northwestern Viet NamName contributed by:Viet Nam.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
:

 
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg 
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  


> Image source:  Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
:  



> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
 
NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SONGDA (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2011 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
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TS SONGDA [CHEDENG] - Update #030

 


for Sunday, 29 May 2011 [1:24 PM PhT]

click to get RSS data


<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*Only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.

Click here on how to use this service (in PDF file)
Powered by: Synermaxx Corporation
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday May 29 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, twitter, SMS and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TS SONGDA (CHEDENG).


SONGDA (CHEDENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


TROPICAL STORM SONGDA [CHEDENG/04W/1102]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 030

12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Sun 29 May 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #036/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm SONGDA (CHEDENG) continues to transition into an Extratropical Cyclone...now passing fast across the Southern Coast of Shikoku, on its way to Honshu's coastline.

Residents and visitors along the Southern Coast of Japan (Kyushu-Shikoku-Honshu) should closely monitor the progress of SONGDA (CHEDENG).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Sun May 29 2011
Location of Center: 32.2º N Lat 133.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 145 km (78 nm) South of Kochi, Japan
Distance 2: 300 km (162 nm) ENE of Kagoshima, Japan
Distance 3: 450 km (243 nm) WSW of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 4: 685 km (370 nm) WSW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (65 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 55 kph (30 kts)
Towards: Southern Coast of Honshu
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 90 mm (Medium)
Rainrate (near center): 50-80 mm/hr (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 28 ft (8.5 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0-3 ft [0.0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 9:00 AM JST Sun May 29

FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 24 hours)*

SONGDA (CHEDENG) is forecast to continue lose tropical characteristics as it passes along the Southern Coast of Japan within the next 12 to 24 hours and will become Extratropical as it moves out into the cooler waters of the North Pacific Ocean.

THIS EVENING [SUN]:  Passing along the southern coast of Honshu, Japan...about 215 km SW of Tokyo, Japan [8PM MAY 29: 34.1N 138.4E @ 85kph].
TOMORROW MORNING [MON]:  Completes Extratropical (XT) transition...weakens further as it mcves Eastward - away from the SE Coast of Honshu and into the North Pacific Ocean...about 730 km ESE of Tokyo, Japan [8AM MAY 30: 34.5N 147.6E @ 75kph].

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 95 km/hr (50 knots) with higher gusts. SONGDA (CHEDENG) is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 250 kilometers (130 nautical miles) from the center. SONGDA is a large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 775 kilometers (420 nautical miles).

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

SONGDA's circulation continues to decay as observed on satellite imageries. Below are the summary of the typhoon's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

INNER RAINBANDS - decaying while along the coast of Shikoku, spreading inland. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (65-117 kph) can be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - spreading across Western and Central Japan. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 50 mm (low to moderate rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 80 mm (high) to the northeast of the center of SONGDA. (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy with possible occasional rains w/ squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES including METRO MANILA & SUBIC BAY. Light to moderate SW to Westerly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) SUN 29 MAY POSITION: 30.6N 131.7E.
*TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (SONGDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
30 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS IT GETS ABSORBED INTO THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED, TRAILING
BEHIND THE CENTRAL CONVECTION THAT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECOUPLED
NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM NEARBY
SHIP OBSERVATIONS AND SURFACE REPORTS ALONG THE COAST OF KYUSHU.
DVORAK ESTIMATES HAVE BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE DUE TO THE DISPLACED
CLOUD SIGNATURE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH THAT APPROACHED FROM THE WEST HAS PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND
ERODED ITS VERTICAL STRUCTURE. THIS IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE IMAGERY..
.(
more)

>> SONGDA, meaning: A river in northwestern Viet NamName contributed by:Viet Nam.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
:

 
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

RECENT MTSAT-2 "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
:


> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/rgb.jpg 
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  


> Image source:  Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
:  



> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
 
NOTE:
 
  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SONGDA (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


Copyright © 2011 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Recent Activity:
MARKETPLACE

Stay on top of your group activity without leaving the page you're on - Get the Yahoo! Toolbar now.


Get great advice about dogs and cats. Visit the Dog & Cat Answers Center.

.

__,_._,___