Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS EWINIAR (ESTER)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #21 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR [ESTER/04W/0603]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) MON 10 JULY 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #042
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EWINIAR (ESTER) WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...JUST PASSED
VERY CLOSE TO CHEJU ISLAND WITH RAINS AND WINDS...WILL
MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTH KOREA TONIGHT.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: EWINIAR is expected to move NNE and make
landfall over South Korea tonight (around 8 PM HK time) pa-
ssing very close to Seoul and lose its tropical characteris-
tics.

+ EFFECTS: EWINIAR's outer and inner rain bands are now
spreading well into the Korean Peninsula, Kyushu and por-
tions of Western Honshu (Japan). The dissipating core (where
the eye and the eyewall are located) is forecast to diminish
this afternoon upon its landfall over Korea. The storm's
weakening core is expected to bring moderate to heavy rains
with very strong & damaging winds that could produce flying
debris, life-threatening flash floods and mudslides along
river banks, low-lying areas and mountain slopes over the
affected islands. Residents residing along the coastal
beachfront areas of Cheju Island, Korea, Eastern China,
Kyushu & Western Honshu in Japan are advised to seek higher
grounds due to possible high waves from the sea. Coastal
Storm Surge flooding from 1 to 3 feet can be expected along
the path of this storm, thereby advising all sea vessels to
remain at port and avoid passing over it.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: This system is no longer enhan-
cing the Southwest (SW) Monsoon. Please rely on TS BILIS for
more Monsoon effects.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) 10 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 34.5º N...LONGITUDE 126.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 120 KM (65 NM) NNW OF CHEJU ISLAND, S. KOREA
DISTANCE 2: 355 KM (190 NM) SSW OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 994 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 13 FEET (3.9 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 28 KM/HR (15 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH KOREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 11 AM MON JULY 10
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

09-21 HR. FORECAST:
> 8 PM (12 GMT) 10 JULY: 36.7N 126.6E / 55-75 KPH
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 11 JULY: 40.4N 128.0E / 35-55 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 10 JULY POSITION: 33.7N 125.9E.
^ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE
IN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 5AM JULY 10
AMSU-B IMAGE INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER IS DISPLACED 25 NM WEST OF THE REMAINING DEEP
CONVECTION...(more info)

>> EWINIAR {pronounced: ee~win~yar}, meaning: Chuuk
   traditional storm God. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
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LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)_______________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srhnoaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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