Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #06
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W [HENRY]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 31 JULY 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 01 AUGUST 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002
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Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 01 AUGUST 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W (HENRY) INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY
AS IT IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL OFF THE SOUTHERN PART
OF ISABELA, JUST NORTH OF CASIGURAN, AURORA...TO CROSS
NORTHERN LUZON THRU THE NIGHT. RAINBANDS COVERING THE
WHOLE OF LUZON WITH THE HELP OF THE ENHANCED SOUTHWESTAS IT IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL OFF THE SOUTHERN PART
OF ISABELA, JUST NORTH OF CASIGURAN, AURORA...TO CROSS
NORTHERN LUZON THRU THE NIGHT. RAINBANDS COVERING THE
MONSOON.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 07W is expected to cross the provinces
of Isabela tonight passing over Ifugao and shall be in the
vicinity of Mountain Province-Kalinga-
AM tomorrow morning (Aug 1). The depression shall be over
Vigan, Ilocos Sur around 7 AM tomorrow morning before mo-
ving out into the South China Sea. The 3 to 4-day Long
Range Forecast shows the system becoming a strong 95-km/hr
Tropical Storm over the South China Sea moving in the di-
rection of Southern China and making its 2nd landfall over
Western Guangdong around Friday morning (Aug 4).
+ EFFECTS: 07W's rainbands continues to affect the whole
of Luzon including Metro Manila, becoming more frequent
along the provinces of Isabela, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Ka-
linga, Abra, Ilocos Sur, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Nueva
Ecija, Pangasinan, Zambales & La Union. These bands will
continue to bring cloudy skies with scattered moderate to
sometimes heavy rains. Residents living along river banks,
steep mountain slopes and low-lying areas are advised to
stay alert and foresee evacuation for possible flashfloods
and mudslides. People living around the slopes of Mayon
Volcano in Albay especially along the area where possible
LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are loca-
ted - must stay on alert at all times for immediate eva-
cuation.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Weak to Moderate Southwest
(SW) Monsoon continues to affect the western sections of
Visayas including Palawan, Boracay Island Resort, Romblon,
Marinduque, Lubang Island, Sulu Sea, and Mindoro. Cloudy
weather conditions with light to moderate or sometimes
heavy rainfall can be expected today. Southwesterly winds
of 30 km/hr with higher gusts may be expected along the
affected areas.
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 31 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.4º N...LONGITUDE 122.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 50 KM (27 NM) NE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 205 KM (110 NM) EAST OF BAGUIO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 260 KM (140 NM) SE OF VIGAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 160 KM (85 NM) SSE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: AURORA-ISABELA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MON JULY 31
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, NUEVA ECIJA,
ISABELA, CAGAYAN, KALINGA, APAYAO, MT. PROVINCE,
IFUGAO, BENGUET, ILOCOS PROVINCES, LA UNION, ABRA,
PANGASINAN, TARLAC AND ZAMBALES.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 17.3N 121.1E / 55-75 KPH
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 31 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.4º N...LONGITUDE 122.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 50 KM (27 NM) NE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 205 KM (110 NM) EAST OF BAGUIO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 260 KM (140 NM) SE OF VIGAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 160 KM (85 NM) SSE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: AURORA-ISABELA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MON JULY 31
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, NUEVA ECIJA,
ISABELA, CAGAYAN, KALINGA, APAYAO, MT. PROVINCE,
IFUGAO, BENGUET, ILOCOS PROVINCES, LA UNION, ABRA,
PANGASINAN, TARLAC AND ZAMBALES.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 17.3N 121.1E / 55-75 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 18.1N 119.3E / 65-85 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 02 AUGUST: 19.6N 114.9E / 85-100 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 JULY POSITION: 16.4N 122.6E.
^TD 07W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MINIMAL DEPRESSION OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERACTION WITH THE ISLAND OF LUZON
WILL LIMIT STRENGTHENING IN THE NEAR TERM. PAST 24
HOURS, DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND OPEN WARM
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 02 AUGUST: 19.6N 114.9E / 85-100 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 JULY POSITION: 16.4N 122.6E.
^TD 07W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MINIMAL DEPRESSION OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERACTION WITH THE ISLAND OF LUZON
WILL LIMIT STRENGTHENING IN THE NEAR TERM. PAST 24
HOURS, DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND OPEN WARM
WATER WILL ALLOW FOR A REORGINIZATION AND GRADUAL
STRENGTHENING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD ALSO GET GOOD
OUTFLOW IN THE EQUATORWARD DIRECTION...(more info)
_________________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
STRENGTHENING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD ALSO GET GOOD
OUTFLOW IN THE EQUATORWARD DIRECTION...(more info)
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 31 JULY: 16.6N 121.5E / WNW @ 13 KPH / 55 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
____________
LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
NOTES:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh...........noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on the TD 07W (HENRY)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
____________
For the complete details on the TD 07W (HENRY)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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