Bushman's Typhoon Blog: EWINIAR (ESTER) becomes a Category 1 Typhoon... [Update #08]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #08

Name: TYPHOON EWINIAR [ESTER/04W/0603]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 03 JULY 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 04 JULY 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #013
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EWINIAR (ESTER) BECOMES THE SECOND TYPHOON OF THE 2006
SEASON OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC BASIN...CONTINUES TO IN-
TENSIFY WHILE DRIFTING NORTHERLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A SMALL, RAGGED "EYE."

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: EWINIAR is expected to continue tra-
cking NW'ly across the Philippine Sea for the next 3 days.
The 3 to 5-Day Advance Forecast (July 6-8) continues to
show the system turning Northward passing just to the east
of Okinawa, Japan around Saturday morning, July 8...further
strengthening of this typhoon will continue.

+ EFFECTS: EWINIAR is currently not affecting any land or
islands along its path.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Low Pressure Area (aka.
Tropical Disturbance) over Central Micronesia was located
approximately 1,245 km SSE of Hagatna, Guam (4.0N 151.0E).
It is likely to become a significant Tropical Cyclone
within the next day or two.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 03 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 13.4º N...LONGITUDE 134.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 1,070 KM (578 NM) EAST OF BICOL REGION, PH

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 31 FEET (9.4 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG~LARGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MON JULY 03
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

09-21 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 04 JULY: 14.2N 133.7E / 165-205 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 04 JULY: 15.5N 132.8E / 185-230 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 03 JULY POSITION: 13.1N 134.4E.
^MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
TY EWINIAR HAS ENHANCED THE NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF THE
STEERING FLOW. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD
THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO STEER
TY EWINIAR TO THE NORTHWEST...(more info)

>> EWINIAR {pronounced: ee~win~yar}, meaning: Chuuk
traditional storm God. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 03 JULY: 13.0N 134.4E / NW @ 09 KPH / 120 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:

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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srhnoaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on the TS EWINIAR (ESTER/04W)...go visit
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> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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