Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS EWINIAR (04W)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #03

Name: TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR [04W/0603]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 01 JULY 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SAT 01 JULY 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #005
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04W (UNNAMED) UPGRADED INTO TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR
...STILL
CONSOLIDATING OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...NOW PASSING BETWEEN PALAU & YAP
ISLANDS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: EWINIAR is expected to maintain its NW movement
and intensify across the Philippine Sea. Forecast to become a
Typhoon while entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility
(PAR) tomorrow afternoon (Sunday, July 2).

+ EFFECTS: EWINIAR's core continues to grow and strengthen with its
outer (feeder) bands still spreading across the tiny Micronesian
islands of Palau, Ulithi and Yap. The storm's core including the
inner & outer bands are expected to bring moderate to heavy torren-
tial rains with strong winds that could produce flying debris, life-
threatening flash floods and mudslides along river banks, low-lying
areas and mountain slopes over the affected areas.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: This tropical system is not yet
enhancing the Southwest (SW) Monsoon.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity changes every 06 to 12 hours!

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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 01 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 7.8º N...LONGITUDE 137.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 280 KM (150 NM) ENE OF KOROR, PALAU, FSM

DISTANCE 2: 215 KM (115 NM) SW OF COLONIA, YAP, FSM

DISTANCE 3: 1,285 KM (695 NM) ESE OF SURIGAO CITY, MINDANAO, PH

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 997 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 16 FEET (4.8 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PALAU-ULITHI-YAP AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM SAT JULY 01
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

09-21 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 01 JULY: 8.5N 136.3E / 85-100 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 02 JULY: 9.7N 135.5E / 100-130 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 01 JULY POSITION: 7.5N 137.3E.
^ TS EWINIAR (04W) WILL INITIALLY TRACK WEST-NORTHWEST-
WARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE (STHPR). A BUILDING PERIPHERAL
ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST IS EXPECTED TO
COMBINE WITH THE STR TO THE NORTH AND CAUSE THE
STORM TRACK TO SHIFT MORE POLEWARD THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD...(more info)

>> EWINIAR {pronounced: ee~win~yar}, meaning: Chuuk
traditional storm God. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:

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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the
      highest. Red letters indicate new areas being hoisted. For more
      explanations on these signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on
   this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srhnoaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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