Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD HENRY almost stationary east of Bicol...[Update #02]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #02

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRY [96W]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 29 JULY 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 30 JULY 2006
Source: PAGASA BULLETIN-WARNING #004
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRY (96W) HAS REMAINED ALMOST
STATIONARY 12 HOURS AGO AND IS NOW DRIFTING WEST-
NORTHWEST TOWARDS BICOL REGION
..NEW CLOUD CLUSTER
GROWING RAPIDLY NEAR ITS POORLY-DEFINED CENTER.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HENRY is expected to move slowly WNW
for the next 2 days, passing close to the Northern Coast
of Catanduanes & Camarines Norte. 3-day forecast (72
hours) shows the system approaching Polillo Islands around
Tuesday afternoon (Aug 1). HENRY may intensify into a
Tropical Storm if the strong upper-level winds (wind
shear) above it weakens.

+ EFFECTS: HENRY's disorganized western outer bands con-
tinues to spread across Bicol Region and Samar Provinces,
bringing cloudy skies with scattered moderate to sometimes
heavy rains. Residents living along river banks, steep
mountain slopes and low-lying areas are advised to stay
alert and foresee evacuation for possible flashfloods and
mudslides. People living around the slopes of Mayon Vol-
cano in Albay especially along the area where possible
LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are
located - must stay on alert at all times for immediate
evacuation.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Weak to Moderate Southwest
(SW) Monsoon continues to affect Mindanao especially the
western sections & is now spreading across Western Visa-
yas. Cloudy weather conditions with light to moderate &
sometimes heavy rainfall can be expected tonight and to-
morrow. Southwesterly winds of 30 km/hr with higher
gusts may be expected along the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

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TIME/DATE: 4:00 PM MANILA TIME (08:00 GMT) 29 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 13.2º N...LONGITUDE 127.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 315 KM (170 NM) ENE OF CATARMAN, N. SAMAR, PH
DISTANCE 2: 400 KM (215 NM) EAST OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 340 KM (185 NM) ESE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH
DISTANCE 4: 455 KM (245 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 70 KM/HR (38 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 06 FEET (1.8 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 07 KM/HR (04 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BICOL REGION-QUEZON AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 4 PM SAT JULY 29

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CAMARINES NORTE, CAMARINES SUR, ALBAY, SORSOGON
& CATANDUANES.

24-48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY: 13.5N 126.0E

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 JULY: 14.4N 124.7E

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 29 JULY POSITION: 13.1N 127.6E.

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LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.........noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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