Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD HENRY passing North of Catanduanes...[Update #04]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #04

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRY [96W]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SUN 30 JULY 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 31 JULY 2006
Source: PAGASA BULLETIN-WARNING #008
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRY (96W) CONTINUES TO DRIFT WEST-
NORTHWEST TOWARDS LUZON
...PASSING NORTH OF CATANDUANES...
RAINBANDS AFFECTING CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LUZON INCLU-
DING NORTHERN VISAYAS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HENRY is expected to move WNW for the
next 24 hours and shall make landfall along Aurora or in
the vicinity of Casiguran early Tuesday morning (Aug 1).
It shall then cross Northern Luzon until Wednesday eve-
ning. The 3-day forecast (72 hours) shows the system over
the Apayao-Kalinga-Ilocos area by Wednesday afternoon
(Aug 2).

+ EFFECTS: HENRY's western & southern rainbands continues
to affect Bicol Region, Masbate, Samar & Leyte Provinces,
Mindoro, Quezon Provinces and Northern Visayas. The rain-
bands is now beginning to spread across Central & Sou-
thern Luzon. These bands will continue to bring cloudy
skies with scattered moderate to sometimes heavy rains.
Residents living along river banks, steep mountain slopes
and low-lying areas are advised to stay alert and foresee
evacuation for possible flashfloods and mudslides. People
living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay espe-
cially along the area where possible LAHAR FLOWS (mixture
of volcanic mud and water) are located - must stay on
alert at all times for immediate evacuation.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Weak to Moderate Southwest
(SW) Monsoon continues to affect the western sections of
Mindanao & Visayas including Palawan. Cloudy weather con-
ditions with light to moderate or sometimes heavy rainfall
can be expected tonight and tomorrow. Southwesterly winds
of 30 km/hr with higher gusts may be expected along the
affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

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TIME/DATE: 4:00 PM MANILA TIME (08:00 GMT) 30 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.0º N...LONGITUDE 124.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 155 KM (83 NM) NORTH OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 200 KM (108 NM) NE OF NAGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 280 KM (150 NM) ESE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 4: 290 KM (157 NM) ENE OF INFANTA, QUEZON, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 70 KM/HR (38 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 06 FEET (1.8 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 07 KM/HR (04 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LUZON
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 4 PM SUN JULY 30

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CAMARINES NORTE, CAMARINES SUR, ALBAY, CATANDUANES,
AURORA, QUEZON AND POLILLO ISLAND.

24-48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 JULY: 15.6N 123.0E

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 16.7N 121.6E

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY POSITION: 15.0N 124.5E.

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LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh..........noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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