Wednesday, October 14, 2009

TS PARMA (PEPENG) makes landfall over Northern Vietnam... [Update #045]

 


for Wednesday, 14 October 2009 [7:07 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue October 13 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS PARMA (PEPENG)


PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 045

6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 14 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #067
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Storm PARMA (PEPENG) is now making landfall over Northern Vietnam...Rapid dissipating expected tonight.

    *Residents and visitors along Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to move slowly Westward slowly overland and dissipate over Northern Vietnam...will pass about 15 km south of Hanoi City early tomorrow morning.

    + Effects: PARMA's main core continues to shrunk in its size...Tropical Storm conditions (winds of not more than 80 kph) can be expected throughout the night across Northern Vietnam. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 25 up to 50 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 150 mm (heavy rain) near the center of PARMA or along mountains slopes particularly along its path. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed October 14 2009
    Location of Center: 20.5º N Lat 106.6º E Lon
    Distance 1: 100 km (55 nm) SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    85 kph (45 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 07 kph (04 kts)
    Projected Area of Impact: Northern Vietnam
    Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Wed Oct 14
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    2 PM Wed Oct 14
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Wed Oct 14
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
    EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 01
    NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 02
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC (US NAVY/AIR FORCE) 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    2 AM (18 GMT) 15 OCTOBER: 20.8N 106.0E / WNW @ 07 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 OCTOBER: 21.1N 105.3E

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 OCTOBER POSITION: 20.5N 106.8E.
    *PARMA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITH VIETNAM
    WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM. THE INITIAL
    INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS REFLECTS WEAKENING OF ALREADY LIMITED DEEP
    CONVECTION...
    (
    more)

    >> PARMA, meaning: Macanese food (ham with chicken livers and mushrooms)Name contributed by: Macau, China.
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


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    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS PARMA (PEPENG)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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    1 comment:

    timtrice said...

    And if Ketsana, Parma and Melor weren't enough now soon-to-be Lupit may affect northern Phillipines mid-next week