for Monday, 15 September 2014 [2:05 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON KALMAEGI (LUIS) UPDATE NUMBER 015
Issued at: 1:30 PM PhT (05:30 GMT) Monday 15 September 2014
Next Update: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Monday 15 September 2014
Typhoon KALMAEGI (LUIS) has moved out from the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this morning...maintaining its strength as it swiftly tracks westerly.
This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains and thunderstorms along the Western sections of Luzon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms . Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Southern China especially in Hainan Island, and Northern Vietnam. should closely monitor the development of KALMAEGI (LUIS).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT.
Classification/Name: TY Kalmaegi (Luis)
Location: Over the South China Sea (near 18.3N 116.7E)
About: 410 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 515 km southeast of Hong Kong, China
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 120 kph near the center...Gustiness: 150 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 50 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Size (in diameter): 665 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 100 km from the Center
Past Movement: West @ 33 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 25 kph
Towards: Hainan Island
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Kalmaegi (Luis) is expected to turn and move west-northwest throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, TY Kalmaegi (Luis) will be moving across the South China Sea towards Hainan through the Gulf of Tonkin and Northern Vietnam.
TY KALMAEGI (Luis) will slightly intensify within 24 hours as it traverses across the warm waters of the South China Sea. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 130 kph by Tuesday morning.
The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
TUESDAY MORNING: Intensifies slightly as it moves across the South China Sea...approaching Northern Hainan...about 170 km east-southeast of Haikou City, China [8AM SEP 16: 19.5N 111.9E @ 130kph].
WEDNESDAY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it makes landfall and moves across Northern Vietnam...about 40 km northwest of Hanoi, Vietnam [8AM SEP 17: 21.3N 105.6E @ 75kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon Sep 15, 2014
Location of Center: Near 18.3º N Lat 116.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 435 km WSW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 2: 605 km WSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 400 km WNW of Vigan City
Distance 4: 475 km WNW of Baguio City City
Distance 5: 515 km WSW of Calayan Island
Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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