for Thursday, 18 September 2014 [9:00 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday 18 September 2014
Next Update: 12:30 PM PhT (04:30 GMT) Thursday 18 September 2014
Tropical Depression 16W (MARIO) has intensified into a Tropical Storm named internationally as "FUNG-WONG", which means "Phoenix" (a name of a peak) in Hong Kong, China. It may directly affect Northeastern and Extreme Northern parts of Luzon in the next 24 to 48 hours.
This cyclone is likely to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains and thunderstorms along the western sections of Visayas and Southern Luzon this weekend. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms . Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region, Eastern Luzon, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Bicol Region and the Visayas. Read more...
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the central part of the Philippine Sea (near 13.4N 129.1E)
About: 450 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 530 km east of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 50 to 250 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 900 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 29 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 29 kph
Towards: Extreme Northern Luzon
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to move generally to the northwest throughout the outlook period, slowing down after 24 hours. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be traversing the central and western parts of the Philippine Sea through Friday early morning...and could be nearing Babuyan and Calayan Islands Group by Saturday early morning.
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will continue to intensify throughout the outlook period...and could become a Typhoon (TY) on Friday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 120 kph by Friday morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens further as it moves across the western-central part of the Philippine Sea...about 230 km east-southeast of Palanan, Isabela [2AM SEP 19: 16.5N 124.5E @ 110kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies into a Typhoon as it moves across the Babuyan Group of Islands...about 20 km east of Calayan Island, Cagayan [2AM SEP 20: 19.3N 121.7E @ 140kph].
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Recurves toward the north and north-northeast...gains further strength...about 155 km southeast of Hualien, Taiwan [2AM SEP 21: 22.8N 122.4E @ 160kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Sep 18, 2014
Location of Center: Near 13.4º N Lat 129.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 500 km ENE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 2: 545 km ENE of Sorsogon City
Distance 3: 585 km E of Legazpi City
Distance 4: 615 km E of Iriga City
Distance 5: 640 km ESE of Metro Naga
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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