for Sunday, 21 September 2014 [1:00 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 013
Issued at: 1:45 AM PhT (17:45 GMT) Sunday 21 September 2014
Next Update: Sunday Morning, 21 September 2014
Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) has maintained its slow northerly drift towards Southern Taiwan...currently passing west of Batanes.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains along the western sections of Central and Northern Luzon tonight...becoming heavy to sometimes extreme rains along Ilocos Provinces and Abra. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Central and Northern Luzon, Southeastern China, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
RAINFALL
- Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Norte, and the northern part of Ilocos Sur. Read more...
- Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): Rest of Ilocos Sur, La Union, Northern Benguet, Abra, Western section of Ifugao-Mt. Province-Kalinga-Apayao, and portion of Northwestern Cagayan incl. Calayan Island. Read more...
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Northwestern Pangasinan, Rest of Benguet, Central portions of Ifugao-Mt. Province, Batanes Group of Islands, . Read more...
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday...1500 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the northwestern part of the Luzon Strait (near 20.9N 119.8E)
About: 195 km South-southwest of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan...or 210 km west-northwest of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, south and west of the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 870 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 22 kph
Towards: Luzon Strait-Taiwan Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to begin accelerating north-northeastward in the next few hours and could follow this course through 24 hours...turning northward and north-northwestward for the remaining of the outlook period. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) shall make landfall over Southern Taiwan on Sunday morning...exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Sunday evening...and emerging over the East China Sea by early Monday. By Monday afternoon, the storm is forecast to make landfall in Southeastern China, over or very near Wenzhou City.
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will still slightly intensify before crossing Taiwan within the next 12 hours...and shall weaken significantly through 48 hours after traversing the mountain ranges of Taiwan and China. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Monday evening.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
SUNDAY EVENING: Over the northernmost part of Taiwan...weakens...about 40 km west of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM SEP 21: 25.0N 121.2E @ 75kph]. MONDAY EVENING: Weakens into a Tropical Depression...as it makes landfall over Southeastern China...about 55 km south of Wenzhou City, China [8PM SEP 22: 28.5N 120.7E @ 55kph]. TUESDAY EVENING: Dissipating over land...just an area of low pressure off Eastern China...about 100 km west-southwest of Shanghai, China [8PM SEP 23: 31.4N 120.4E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sat Sep 20, 2014
Location of Center: Near 20.9º N Lat 119.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 210 km WNW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 2: 285 km NNE of Pagudpod, Ilocos Norte
Distance 3: 310 km NNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 4: 390 km SSW of Hualien City, Taiwan
Distance 5: 490 km SSW of Taipei, Taiwan
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS FUNG-WONG (MARIO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2014 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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