for Saturday, 20 September 2014 [1:34 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 009
Issued at: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Saturday 20 September 2014
Next Update: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Saturday 20 September 2014
Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) has drifted westward during the past 6 hours while near the west coast of Ilocos Norte...likely to turn north towards Taiwan later.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with moderate to heavy rains along the western sections of Luzon including Metro Manila tonight through Saturday morning...becoming heavy to extreme along Ilocos and Cordillera Administrative Regions. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Central and Northern Luzon, Southeastern China, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
RAINFALL
- Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Region, the western portions of Cordillera Administrative Region and Northwestern Cagayan. Read more...
- Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): National Capital Region, Northern Mindoro, and the rest of Northern and Central Luzon, CaLaBaRZon incl. Polillo Islands. Read more...
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Northern Palawan incl. Calamian Group, Southern Mindoro, Marinduque, and the eastern portions of Southern Quezon. Read more...
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday...1500 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the West Philippine Sea, just along the western coast of Ilocos Norte (near 18.7N 119.6E)
About: 120 km west-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 315 km southwest of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, west and west-southwest of the center): 50 to 400 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 770 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest to North @ 10 kph
Towards: Luzon Strait-Taiwan Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to begin moving north-northwest to northward slowly within the next 24 hours...turning to the north-northeast through 36 to 48 hours. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be moving over the western part of the Luzon Strait this evening through Saturday. By early Sunday morning, the cyclone will start to recurve as it gains speed while passing the western shoreline of Taiwan by Sunday afternoon.
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will slightly gain strength within the next 24 hours...and shall weaken through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 85 kph by Saturday evening.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
SATURDAY EVENING: Intensifies slightly...as it moves across the western part of Luzon Strait...about 250 km west of Itbayat, Batanes [8PM SEP 20: 20.7N 119.4E @ 85kph].
SUNDAY EVENING: Accelerating NNE-ward while along the western shores of Taiwan...weakens slightly...about 120 km west-southwest of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM SEP 21: 23.6N 120.9E @ 65kph].
MONDAY EVENING: Exits the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it moves across the East China Sea...about 185 km southeast of Ningbo, China [2PM SEP 22: 27.4N 121.9E @ 65kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Fri Sep 19, 2014
Location of Center: Near 18.7º N Lat 119.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 130 km W of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 2: 150 km NNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 3: 210 km WSW of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 215 km WNW of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 440 km SSW of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS FUNG-WONG (MARIO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2014 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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