Saturday, September 20, 2014

TS FUNG-WONG (MARIO) Update #011

 



for Saturday, 20 September 2014 [2:24 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 011
Issued at: 1:30 PM PhT (05:30 GMT) Saturday 20 September 2014

Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) has intensified slightly as it turns its track to the north. Its rainbands are still affecting Northern and Central Luzon.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains along the western sections of Luzon including Metro Manila today...becoming heavy to extreme along Ilocos Provinces and Abra. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Central and Northern Luzon, Southeastern China, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).


Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Region and Abra. Read more...
  • Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): Northern La Union, Northern Benguet, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Kalinga, Apayao, portion of Northwestern Cagayan, and western islands of the Calayan Group. Read more...
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Northern Zambales, Tarlac, Northern Nueva Ecija, Nueva Viscaya, Quirino, Isabela and rest of Cagayan. Read more...


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the West Philippine Sea, along the southern part of the Luzon Strait (near 19.9N 119.6E)
About: 215 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 250 km west-southwest of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, south and east of the center): 150 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 795 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 16 kph
Towards: Luzon Strait-Taiwan Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to begin turning to the north-northeast in the next few hours and follows this course throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be moving over the western part of the Luzon Strait within the next 24 hours...then will traverse western Taiwan through 48 hours...exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Sunday midnight and emerging over the East China Sea on Monday early morning.

TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will keep its strength within the next 24 hours...and shall weaken significantly through 48 hours after traversing the mountain ranges of Taiwan. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Monday morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

SUNDAY MORNING: Making landfall along the southwestern coast of Taiwan...about 40 km northeast of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [8AM SEP 21: 22.9N 120.5E @ 85kph].
MONDAY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Depression...as it emerges over the East China Sea...about 200 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [8AM SEP 22: 26.8N 121.8E @ 55kph].
TUESDAY MORNING: Slows down as it weakens further...about 85 km east-southeast of Ningbo, China [8AM SEP 23: 29.6N 122.4E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:AM PhT Sat Sep 20, 2014
Location of Center: Near 19.9º N Lat 119.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km NW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 2: 270 km NNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 3: 210 km WNW of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 285 km NW of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 310 km SSW of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20140920053736.gif

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20140920053903.GIF

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/16W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS FUNG-WONG (MARIO)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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