for Saturday, 20 September 2014 [7:33 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 012
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Saturday 20 September 2014
Next Update: Early Sunday Morning, 21 September 2014
Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) continues to creep across the western part of the Luzon Strait, towards Southern Taiwan. Its rainbands and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon are still affecting the northern and western sections of Northern Luzon.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains along the western sections of Central and Northern Luzon tonight...becoming heavy to extreme along Ilocos Provinces and Abra. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Central and Northern Luzon, Southeastern China, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Region and Abra. Read more...
- Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): Northern La Union, Northern Benguet, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Kalinga, Apayao, portion of Northwestern Cagayan, and western islands of the Calayan Group. Read more...
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Northern Zambales, Tarlac, Northern Nueva Ecija, Nueva Viscaya, Quirino, Isabela and Rest of Cagayan. Read more...
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the West Philippine Sea, along the western part of the Luzon Strait (near 20.3N 119.9E)
About: 220 km west of Basco, Batanes...or 245 km north-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, south and west of the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 675 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: Northeast @ 09 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 19 kph
Towards: Luzon Strait-Taiwan Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to begin accelerating north-northeastward in the next few hours and could follow this course throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be moving over the northern part of the Luzon Strait within the next 12 hours...then will traverse western Taiwan through 36 hours...exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by early Monday morning and emerging over the East China Sea on Monday mid-morning. By Monday afternoon, the storm is forecast to make landfall in Southeastern China, over or very near Wenzhou City.
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will still slightly intensify before crossing Taiwan within the next 24 hours...and shall weaken significantly through 48 hours after traversing the mountain ranges of Taiwan, and making landfall over Southeastern China. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Monday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Over Central Taiwan...weakens...about 80 km west of Hualien, Taiwan [2PM SEP 21: 23.9N 120.8E @ 75kph].
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Tropical Depression...as it makes landfall over Southeastern China...about 55 km south of Wenzhou City, China [2PM SEP 22: 27.4N 120.9E @ 55kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating over land...just an area of low pressure off Eastern China...about 135 km west of Shanghai, China [2PM SEP 23: 31.3N 120.0E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat Sep 20, 2014
Location of Center: Near 20.3º N Lat 119.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km NW of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 2: 205 km WSW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 220 km NNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 4: 260 km SSW of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
Distance 5: 445 km SSW of Hualien City, Taiwan
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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