Friday, September 19, 2014

TS FUNG-WONG (MARIO) Update #007


for Friday, 19 September 2014 [2:21 PM PhT]


Issued at: 1:30 PM PhT (05:30 GMT) Friday 19 September 2014
Next Update: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Friday 19 September 2014

Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) has made landfall over Northeastern Cagayan this morning while swiftly moving northwesterly. A major rainfall event may occur along Northern and Central Luzon particularly the western sections as the storm is forecast to slow down late Friday to Saturday while over Luzon Strait.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with slight to moderate and heavy rains and thunderstorms along the western sections of Visayas and Southern Luzon today. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms . Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Central and Northern Luzon, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.


  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Northern and Central Luzon including Northern Mindoro, Marinduque, Camarines Norte, Quezon, Rizal, Laguna, Batangas, Cavite and Metro Manila. Read more...
  • Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): Calamian Group, Southern Mindoro, Northern Panay, Northern Masbate, and rest of Southern Bicol. Read more...
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Northern Palawan, Southern Panay, Negros Occidental and Southern Masbate. Read more...


As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the Balintang Channel (near 18.6N 121.7E)
About: 195 km north-northwest of Palanan, Isabela...or 55 km west-northwest of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, west and west-southwest of the center): 50 to 350 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 775 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: Northwest @ 39 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 08 kph
Towards: Balintang-Bashi Channel


TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to continue to move northwestward and slow down within the next 24 hours...turning sharply to the north and north-northeast through 36 to 48 hours. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be moving over the northwestern part of Balintang Channel. By Saturday early morning, the cyclone will start to recurve as it continues to move slowly, and will gain speed later as it crosses the Bashi Channel on its way to Southern Taiwan.

TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will slightly gain strength withint the next 24 hours and shall maintain it through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 85 kph by Saturday night.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

SATURDAY MORNING: Intesifies it moves across the western part of Balintang Channel...about 115 km west-northwest of Calayan Island [8AM SEP 20: 19.7N 120.5E @ 85kph].
SUNDAY MORNING: Traverses the eastern side of Taiwan as it gains speed...about to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...somet 55 km north of Hualien, Taiwan [8AM SEP 21: 24.5N 121.6E @ 85kph].
MONDAY MORNING: Moves across the East China Sea while maintaining its strength ...about 270 km southeast of Shanghai, China [8AM SEP 22: 29.6N 123.6E @ 85kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Fri Sep 19, 2014
Location of Center: Near 18.6º N Lat 121.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 25 km NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 80 km SSE of Calayan Island
Distance 3: 205 km SSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 130 km ENE of Laoag City. Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 100 km N of Tuguegarao, Cagayan
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF








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